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The New Situation In ROA And The Upcoming Pres Election in NKR

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  • The New Situation In ROA And The Upcoming Pres Election in NKR

    THE NEW SITUATION IN ARMENIA AND THE UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN NKR

    IGOR MURADYAN
    14-05-2007 15:52:25 - KarabakhOpen


    A new political situation has emerged after the parliamentary election
    in Armenia. President Kocharyan mentioned three political parties on
    the eve of the voting which could form a new coalition in the
    parliament and become his support in his further destiny. These
    parties are the Bargavach Hayastan Party, Dashnaktsutyun and the
    United Labor Party. However, despite a number of polls, the Bargavach
    Hayastan Party got twice fewer votes than it had been expected,
    whereas the United Labor Party could not mount the hindrance of 5
    percent. The Dashink Party the leader of which was reportedly viewed
    by the president as a political partner in the future parliament was
    left out of the game. Despite the definite political success of
    Dashnaktsutyun, this circumstance had not been taken into account
    because Dashnaktsutyun was supposed to have a secondary role in the
    pro-government coalition, meanwhile, it happened that he is equal to
    the Bargavach Hayastan Party. It is possible that certain factors and
    conditions had been overlooked, and now it is certain that the
    president did not reach his goal. If nothing extraordinary happens on
    these days, an unforeseen situation will emerge in the future
    parliament when there will be two main poles - the Republican Party
    and the new coalition which may include (possibly in the course of
    time) Bargavach Hayastan and Dashnaktsutyun, and not only the Heritage
    Party but also the Orinats Yerkir Party may join them. The
    controversies among the political sets are too sharp to expect good
    faith and cooperation, even on separate issues. At any rate, the
    political situation in Armenia has become more interesting and
    dynamic, including from the point of view of the interests of
    Karabakh. There is hope that the parties which are set in the mode of
    capitulation and return of Karabakh, the National Solidarity and the
    People's Party of Armenia, will finally leave the political stage.
    Unfortunately, however, the Heritage Party is in the parliament for
    which the supporters and voters of the All-Armenian Movement voted in
    the recent past, who hate the Karabakh idea. It's a pity that Tigran
    Karapetyan's group got no seats in the parliament, who would be useful
    in corresponding debates. For the Dashnaks whose behavior during the
    election seemed heroic (many believed that they had forgotten how to
    fight and shoot), it may be a good start to overcome this anabiosis.

    But how will the new situation affect the situation in NKR?


    In the local election in 2004 the Dashnaks of Karabakh had a crucial
    role in the success of the opposition's victory, especially
    in the election to the mayor of Stepanakert. Therefore, the standpoint
    of the Dashnaks on the forthcoming presidential election is highly
    important. In the new situation when the ARF Dashnaktsutyun does not
    need the former ruling coalition, the Dashnaks may launch their own
    game together with the Bargavach Hayastan Party, although under the
    close scrutiny of Robert Kocharyan. The Dashnaks have to reconsider
    their standpoint on the NKR presidential election (at least with
    regard to the standpoint of the party leaders in Yerevan, which still
    seems highly speculative and based on conjuncture). Why should the
    Dashnaks now support their candidate for the post of the NKR president
    if in the Armenian parliament they must confront their anthological
    opponents? It is one of the rare chances for the ARF Dashnaktsutyun to
    become at last an independent political party in Armenia. Bargavach
    Hayastan is exactly what the party needs in the nearest future. By
    gaining independence in Yerevan where Kocharyan does not possess full
    power and has now to play his own autonomous game, the Dashnaks need
    not continue to perform the role of an appendix of the NKR government.


    Hence, the ARF Dashnaktsutyun faces a choice: to maintain the factual
    borders of NKR together with Kocharyan and Bargavach Hayastan or to
    play the fatal and abject role of yielding part of our homeland to the
    enemy. This election is not a choice between fanaticism and a
    calculation but the external stipulation and a meaningful policy based
    on a profound analysis and patriotism. And the Dashnaks will not be
    alone. In Yerevan a prospect of broad political and public support is
    opening up for a free presidential election in NKR.


    DASHNAKS OF KARABAKH MUST VOTE FOR MASIS MAYILYAN.
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