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TBILISI: Armenia Remains Pro-Russian And Pro-Georgian

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  • TBILISI: Armenia Remains Pro-Russian And Pro-Georgian

    ARMENIA REMAINS PRO-RUSSIAN AND PRO-GEORGIAN
    By M. Alkhazashvili
    (Translated by Diana Dundua)

    The Messenger, Georgia
    May 24 2007

    Analysts carefully observed the parliamentary elections held in
    Armenia held on May 12. Those who were awaiting a radical upheaval of
    the current government were disappointed. The election results proved
    that Armenia's policies would remain Russian-oriented for still time
    to come with the Republican Party gaining a solid victory.

    However, the parliamentary elections were a sign that changes were
    underway within the administration. Of the 131 seats in parliament,
    Prime Minister Serj Sarkisian's Republican Party gained 64 mandates.

    The Republicans also hope that out of the independent majoritarians
    that were elected, at least 5 MPs will join their party.

    In 2008, the Armenian presidential election will be held. Prime
    Minister Serj Sarkisian is the clear front-runner.

    It is also noteworthy that the parliamentary elections in Armenia
    were considered to have been conducted without any major problems and
    not only CIS countries called the elections successful, but western
    observers as well.

    Even though some opposition parties are protesting the results,
    their protests are not strong enough to change anything.

    The Armenian people as a whole are not expressing any serious problems
    with the elections. Member of the victorious Republican Party Armen
    Ahotyan stated that compared to the parliament formed in 2003, the
    level of legitimacy of the new Armenian National Assembly was high.

    The Armenian parliamentary elections also demonstrated that movement
    towards a change of direction especially in foreign policy issues
    was not yet underway.

    According to Ahotyan, the parliament will not be "pro-western" though
    they will try to work with many different parties in their foreign
    policy reports the news agency Regnum.

    Some analysts are sure that Armenia will remain firmly
    Russian-oriented.

    The Armenian newspaper Agzi reports that the Republican Party's
    victory in the elections shows that Russia will still be dominant in
    Armenia and even if the local army strengthens cooperation with NATO,
    it will still remain under Russia's influence. The paper publishes
    that Armenia's pro-Moscow policy includes certain dangers including
    the Nagorno-Karabakh separatist territory will become more of an
    issue and relationships with Georgia will become tenser.

    Armenia will have to juggle both their dependence on Russia with
    their own interests which at times calls for relations with the west.

    It is also in Armenia's interest to maintain friendly relations with
    Georgia which is important for Georgia as well so the likelihood of
    relations 'tensing' between the two neighbors is small.
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