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  • Why Is Ter-Petrosyan Returning?

    WHY IS TER-PETROSYAN RETURNING?
    Armen Tsatouryan

    Hayots Ashkharh Daily
    Oct 30 2007
    Armenia

    When his nonsensical ideas have not come true

    As we are aware, L. Ter-Petrrosyan's well-known press conference held
    on September 26, 1997 and the subsequent article entitled as "War or
    Peace?" marked the beginning of a political debate which eventually
    resulted in his resignation and the 10-years' silence that followed.

    However, making a speech on the Theatrical Square on October 26,
    Ter-Petrosyan again made a claim for returning to power. The following
    question comes up: whether Mr. Ter-Petrosyan's nonsensical ideas
    have come true or just he was on edge and hurried to return to the
    political arena, thus, actually, discharging his last bullet in vain.

    In order to give an answer to this question, let's try to remember
    the political platform with regard to the Karabakh issue that made
    the ex-President quit the political arena. And now he is trying to
    return in order to carry out this project.

    Let's recall the paragraphs contained in "War or Peace?", the article
    written by Mr. Ter-Petrosyan in 1997, and compare them with the part
    of his 2007 speech regarding the Karabakh issue.

    And thus, L. Ter-Petrosyan insisted on the following in 1997: First:
    it is impossible to maintain the Nagorno Karabakh status quo, as
    this will be disallowed by the international community and besides,
    it will be impossible, considering Armenia's economic potentials.

    Second: the only option for mutual concessions is the realization
    of the phase variant which implied conceding 5 liberated territories
    in return for deploying the international peacekeeping forces along
    the NKR-Azerbaijan border and proceeding with the talks over the
    undetermined status of Nagorno Karabakh.

    Third: As far back as 10 years ago, i.e. in 1997-1998, L. Ter-Petrosyan
    considered that in case of refusing to apply this variant, the
    international community's coercion or the outbreak of a destructive
    war would be inevitable.

    Fourth: Handing in a resignation on February 3, 1998, Mr. Ter-Petrosyan
    "prompted" the international community and Azerbaijan that the
    "party of war" was coming to power in Armenia in order to speed up
    the realization of his nonsensical ideas.

    Can anyone, including the ex-President, deny that these were the main
    arguments accounting for Mr. Ter-Petrosyan's debate on the Karabakh
    issue and his subsequent resignation?

    So, what about Mr. Ter-Petrosyan's genius predictions and
    proposals? What happened to them in the course of the subsequent
    10 years?

    First: his thesis on the impossibility of maintaining the Krabakh
    status quo for a long time burst like a soap-bubble; a fact that Levon
    Ter-Petrosyan himself confessed in his speech on October 26, 2007,
    by stating that the Karabakh issue is of a trivial importance in the
    list of the "superpowers' priotities". What about the international
    community and the imminent war which caused him to suffer a feeling of
    horror in 1997-1998. It isn't as if during the subsequent 10 years our
    country were supposed to be totally torn apart by the international
    community and especially Azerbaijan.

    Second: In case the phase variant, i.e. the return of the 5 liberated
    territories and the deployment of the international peacekeeping
    forces became a reality in 1997-1998, we would currently be negotiating
    over the NKR model as an autonomous vs. a unitary state and not over
    the country's international status. Moreover, the displacement of
    Armenians from Nagorno Karabakh would be inevitable in such conditions,
    because the achievements gained through the war would have actually
    been leveled to the ground.

    Third: Azerbaijan did not actually make any serious attempt to
    resume the war during the past 10 years, and it will not do so in
    the near future either. What's more, if we had ceded the 5 liberated
    territories, the only security guarantee we'd be having now would be
    the existence of the international peacekeeping forces which, as we
    know, have not done anything so far to prevent the great number of
    the ethnic cleansings that took place in the Balkans.

    Fourth: If the international community had believed Mr. Ter-Petrosyan's
    statements concerning the advent of the "party of war", it would
    have ceased providing economic assistance and support to Armenia;
    something that didn't happen during the past 10 years.

    The only motive leading to the reasonable perception of his 10 year-old
    silence would be a situation in which his viewpoints and nonsensical
    ideas might come true; thereafter, he would really have the moral
    right to return to the political arena and pretend to political power,
    reminding about the above-mentioned.

    Since Mr. Ter-Petrosyan's nonsensical ideas and calculations did not,
    fortunately, come true in the course of the past 10 years, it is
    obvious that his current political claim loses its justification,
    turning into a biased primitive desire for returning to power.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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