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ANKARA: What Do Strategy And Historical Experience Tell Us?

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  • ANKARA: What Do Strategy And Historical Experience Tell Us?

    WHAT DO STRATEGY AND HISTORICAL EXPERIENCE TELL US?
    By Enol Ozbek*

    Today's Zaman, Turkey
    Nov 1 2007

    The history of the Ottoman Empire shows us that despite it being well
    into the 1450s and the Turkish army having passed through Kosovo,
    Istanbul still remained unconquered.

    If the Ottoman Empire had been more focused on the conquest of
    Istanbul instead of advancing through Kosovo, the conquest would
    have been achieved much earlier. But the Ottoman rulers opted to
    launch limited and sporadic attacks on Istanbul and initiated the
    last comprehensive campaign only in 1453. The reason for this choice
    is obvious -- the Byzantine Empire was first conquered through the
    Muslims sent inside Byzantine territory specifically for the spread
    of Islam, after which, strategies to hold the city at bay rather than
    to conquer it were developed. This is a fact evidenced by the remark
    of Sultan Mehmed the Conqueror, who said, "The defense line of the
    country that holds Istanbul is the Danube." The last move to conquer
    the city was made when the Danube was taken under control, and even
    the clerics of the Byzantine Empire said they would prefer the Turks
    instead of the Byzantines. This process was one of the most important
    strategies implemented by the Ottoman Empire in its early days.

    Thanks to this strategy and its ideological support, communities
    from different religions, races and nations coexisted in peace for
    centuries under the rule of the Ottoman Empire.

    We lost local people; confidants of Ataturk

    In order for the current rulers of our country to see how the events
    of history have affected current strategies, we had to experience
    the outbreak of the genocidal campaign in Bosnia. In the end, we
    realized that we were actually unaware of the strategies based on
    the idea of historical background. While we had to draw lessons from
    what happened, put the historical background under a spotlight and
    revise our strategies, we failed to do so, ultimately leading to
    an ironic situation under which historical background put us under
    the spotlight. This is the description of the picture in regards
    to terrorism and the situation in northern Iraq. The Turkish state
    still deals with the problems associated with the bad decisions and
    strategies advanced by the rulers who consider the people who remain
    in the northern part of the border region artificially portrayed
    by British military officers as Turks and those who remain in the
    southern part as Kurds; thus our state leaders remain unaware of the
    region's history. Nobody has been able to explain how we would be
    able to embrace the far south while we failed to embrace the people
    of the southeastern region.

    During the negotiations held to discuss the southern border of Turkey,
    Ataturk was so confident that the people in the north of Iraq would be
    eager to join Turkey that he asked for a plebiscite without making any
    distinction between south or deep south. The implementation of this
    approach was prevented by way of British political strategies. The
    point we have to think about here is that how these people who
    should have become Turkey's spiritual citizens considering Ataturk's
    confidence in their loyalty to this country turned disloyal.

    There is no room for "I wish" or "if only" statements in the life
    of a state. But if only Turkey had mobilized its army through the
    border when Saddam attacked these people to show its solidarity with
    them and its determination that it would not allow something bad to
    happen to these people who it considered brothers. If only Turkey had
    mobilized its army through the Armenian border when Armenia assaulted
    and invaded Azeri territories. In other words, if only Turkey had been
    ready in those days. It could not because it lacked such a visionary
    approach. It was only a dream at that time to expect Turkey's readiness
    for such action because those who made reference to the historical
    background idea were accused of being racist and expansionist.

    At the current stage, we have to deal with a number of intertwined
    problems. Turkey will either resolve these problems with professionals
    in light of the strategy, or it will lose impact and power if it fails
    to adequately address them. My intention is not to make excessive
    and unnecessary warnings. My intention is to detail our current
    point. Those who portrayed the terrorists as people who roam the
    mountains with their guitars and not guns today assert that Massoud
    Barzani should be the real target. More interestingly, despite the fact
    that the government insists the target is the Kurdistan Workers' Party
    (PKK) alone, the call for targeting Barzani finds support even within
    the state. Turkey has been transformed from a country discussing the
    reforms to be introduced in the near future, including constitutional
    amendments, into a country that is being dragged into a conflict with
    the US, and where those who make reference to reason and calmness
    are accused of treason.

    Mithat Pasha and his friends in 1877-1878

    My approach should not be taken as a suggestion for submission to
    the US projects and ignorance of the activities of the terrorist
    organization in the region. Initiation of a military operation to
    address the terrorist threat stemming from another country and taking
    the risk of confronting the groups inside that country are completely
    different things. It should be pointed out that an operation in a
    foreign country cannot be successful unless the groups in this country
    support this action. While the validity of this fact is obvious, it
    is not understandable to insult the people of the region called the
    "Kurdish Autonomous Region." The military operation directed by this
    logic and the impact of this operation on the brotherhood between
    Kurds and the Kurdish people in this region should also be reviewed.

    Turkey is moving toward shaky ground akin to that created before the
    1877-78 Ottoman-Russian War -- a move that will disrupt the domestic
    balance. Before the war, Mithat Pasha and his friends accused the
    sultan who refrained from signing the declaration of war of acting
    cowardly and committing treason, further mobilizing the madrasah
    students and the public to force the sultan to sign. In the end,
    the Ottoman Empire had to deal with its most serious problem by which
    its collapse began. It should also be recalled that the same war was
    the beginning of the collapse of the winner, the Russian Empire. War
    should be considered the last resort under any circumstances.

    "Defeating the enemy without war is the highest point of mastery,"
    a statement coined by Sun-Tzu, should be always be kept in mind.

    Another point that should be underlined in terms of the logic of
    the masses is the wrong view that this operation will eliminate
    terrorism. The terrorist organization's decision to take a certain
    area as its base is of course important, but Turkey's lack of a
    comprehensive strategy to combat terrorism is more important.

    * ªenol Ozbek is a retired lieutenant colonel.

    --Boundary_(ID_Wilf965QJitqC17gVPbe0Q)--
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