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War And Peace Scenarios In Kurdistan

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  • War And Peace Scenarios In Kurdistan

    WAR AND PEACE SCENARIOS IN KURDISTAN

    Kurdish Aspect, CO
    Nov 1 2007

    War in Kurdistan is a risky political game and might be intended to
    put the so called good and bad Kurds against each other. "Good Kurds,
    Bad Kurds" became the title of a documentary movie in 2000 by Kevin
    McKiernan, in which he criticizes the double standard of Washington to
    assist the currently moderate Kurds in Iraq and oppose the radical ones
    in Turkey. Washington might have forgotten that the Iraqi Kurds were as
    oppositional to the system as PKK. Through opportunity for dialogue,
    the Iraqi Kurds were able to change their methods and participate in
    the political games with suite and tie instead of mountain baggy pants
    and Kalashnikovs. PKK fighters could change their attire and tools,
    if they have the same opportunity.

    Of course as a product of the Turkish state brutality, PKK is a radical
    organization and its method and tools are not supported by most Kurds
    in Diaspora. The reality of the lives of the Kurds at home dictates
    different approaches than what we see fit. Although PKK is willing
    to compromise and use dialogue instead of Kalashnikov, it is still
    described by some of the Washington's peripheral ideologues such as
    Christopher Hitchens as a "Stalinist cult organization". The same
    ideologue is aware of Turkish ultra nationalism and calls it "Kemalist
    Chauvinism", unfortunately without discussing the US cooperation with
    Stalin to end the European fascism and subsequent spontaneous ending
    of Stalinism through dialogue and development.

    Even if PKK had advocated the frightening Stalinism, it will not
    survive once the Kurds in Turkey are treated as equal human beings.

    Obviously Turkish ultranationalists can not accept to have Kurds
    as equal negotiating partners, they rather prolong the existence of
    Stalinism in the region, have every Kurd live in the mountains and
    join PKK, or fight with them as gladiators to the point of stabbing
    each other. Since this time Kurds do not seem to be manipulated and
    used against each other, Turkey plans to take a more drastic measure
    by attacking them with full force. I do not see why mobilizing 100,000
    soldiers is needed against 3,000 PKK fighters except to prevent the
    Kurdish success in Iraq and regain control over one part of the lost
    territory of the Ottoman Empire. This extreme measure might not only
    unite the ultranationalists and religious right in Turkey, but also
    strengthen the NATO in the region under the leadership of Washington
    for a short while.

    Washington, frustrated with the current war, could welcome another
    short term attractive offer, and pull out from Iraq. Iraqis will feel
    impregnated without having a responsible partner and welcome anyone who
    looks mighty and prays in the same direction. Arab countries, pressured
    to end their dictatorship by competitive dictatorial organizations,
    feel incompetent to take care of themselves, let alone their sister
    country Iraq. Israel, the only tiny Western Democracy in the region,
    handicapped by the violence of radical Islamists and own military will
    not be of any help. Other democratic countries around the world, too
    slow in seeing the real dangers of the world, might abandon the US,
    if pressured by their sleepy beauties. So the Turks are tempted to
    take advantage of the vacuum.

    Turkey with its 100,000 ready troops could substitute the American
    soldiers so they can return to their families. United States would
    not be disappointed even it means losing the support of the Kurds in
    Iraq. Both democrats and republicans have old ties with the Turkish
    government and businesses. Those ties are much more valuable than
    some small connections with the frequently accommodating Kurdish
    leadership in Baghdad. Some American politicians have recognized
    that a free Kurdistan is the way out, but many of them do not dare
    to advocate this reality because of their commitment to Turkey. Its
    not surprising that the less popular presidential candidates have
    recommended a three region solution for Iraq, while the one that have
    a better chance to win avoid a serious comment about Kurdistan.

    Hopefully they gain some insight into the outcome of war and peace
    scenarios so they can make a better decision.

    In a war scenario, Kurdistan will lose militarily and Turkey cheers up
    for a short while. Washington builds new friendly business and military
    contracts with the winner. The Kurds, used to being stabbed in the
    back, return to mountains and plea to one of their regional enemies
    for asylum and protection of their families. These enemies would open
    their doors to them with joy, so they can pretend in the international
    community that they value humanity and have nothing against the beaten
    up and submissive Kurds. Those American interested in human rights
    and democracy will suffer morally and others will continue business
    as usual. Even the four infamous countries together can not kill
    all 40 million Kurds without severe consequences for themselves. The
    surviving Kurds will become united as one nation against aggressors
    and build mutually satisfactory relations with more reliable, neutral,
    and free countries instead of those who repeatedly use them for their
    own gain. They will repeat the fighting cycles without pleading to
    their enemies until they win as the Jews did and Armenian are doing.

    In a peace scenario, the United States would work with all Kurds
    including PKK and other leftist organizations to prevent further growth
    of ultra nationalism and religious extremism in the Middle East. Such
    cooperation would serve not only the United Sates but also the majority
    of the Turks and other Muslims in the Middle East. PKK would join
    the moderate Kurds, denounce Stalinism, and use the same method that
    Mandela and Gandhi used to free their people. Turkey would accept the
    Kurds as a nation, with them take a leading role in becoming a true
    democracy, and prove that even countries with an Islamic background
    have the potential to appreciate freedom and human rights. Finally the
    world would recognize that the Kurds deserve equal rights and need to
    have one to four representatives in the United Nations to promote peace.
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