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Turkey, EU, US Must Take Clear Stance To Avoid Regret, Say Observers

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  • Turkey, EU, US Must Take Clear Stance To Avoid Regret, Say Observers

    TURKEY, EU, US MUST TAKE CLEAR STANCE TO AVOID REGRET, SAY OBSERVERS
    Yonca Poyraz DoÄ~^An

    Zaman
    10.11.2007

    Turkey is at a critical turning point domestically, a time when its
    neighborhood is challenged and its best allies are at a crossroads
    because the time has come to clearly define their stance -- so agreed
    a group of foreign policy observers, including academics, think tank
    representatives, journalists and former government officials, at a
    roundtable meeting held recently at İstanbul Bilgi University.

    Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan met with US President George
    W. Bush on Monday in a meeting wherein Bush declared the PKK an enemy
    of the US and promised to fight against it.

    In the Nov. 8 meeting organized by the nongovernmental Arı Movement
    to mark the release of its new Turkish Policy Quarterly (TPQ) issue on
    "New Faultlines in Central Eurasia," participants stressed the lack
    of EU and US leadership's recognition of Turkey's importance. One of
    the speakers even suggested that if Turkey does not receive a clear
    signal from the EU that it will become a full member of the 27-nation
    bloc, the country will "go Islamic."

    As an example of the blurred messages Turkey receives from Europe,
    another participant said the European media should stop calling
    Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) operatives "fighters" or "rebels"
    and clearly identify them as "PKK terrorists."

    "If the PKK is identified and characterized by the EU and the US as
    a terrorist organization -- which it is -- then the European [and]
    especially the German media should stop calling them PKK fighters or
    PKK rebels and call them what they are: PKK terrorists," said Jörg
    Dehnert, the Turkey representative of the Germany-based Friedrich
    Naumann Foundation.

    He also said the PKK has no mandate for Turkish Kurds, as the July
    22 elections showed clearly that the PKK has lost much of its support
    among Kurds living in Turkey.

    The success of the ruling Justice and Development Party (AK Party)
    in garnering more than half of the vote in Kurdish-majority provinces
    has been seen as a significant result of this year's parliamentary
    elections.

    "Turkey needs more understanding and support from its allies -- not
    as a favor, but as part of alliance solidarity. The transformation
    we are undergoing will end when we get more support. It is difficult
    and not trouble-free. Adversity on the part of allies will exacerbate
    tensions and the result may end up being regrettable, for all parties
    concerned," said Soli Ozel, a senior lecturer in international
    relations and political science at Bilgi University.

    Turkey at a turning point

    One of the keynote speakers described the transformation Turkey has
    been going through as the "post-Kemalist era," and said that some
    see it as a moment of self-definition they call "Erdoganism."

    "Unfortunately, Turkey's membership aspirations caught up with the
    European Union's domestic insecurities," said Fred Kempe, president
    and chief executive officer of the nonprofit Atlantic Council of the
    United States.

    Kempe said the EU has to decide what it wants to be in the future. He
    also said the Turkish government has to make an argument indicating
    why the membership is so important.

    Arguments in the EU regarding whether it will be able to expand
    farther, agree on a common foreign policy and reverse the public
    opinion against enlargement continue.

    Most experts expect the EU to go slow on enlargement because opposition
    to the entire process is growing in some member states, especially
    about expanding the EU to the East.

    "Even the most pro-Western Turks want to learn what it is the West
    wants from us. Almost everybody says Turkey is part of the West and
    if it keeps to the course it will win; but we never get the reward,"
    Ozel said.

    Kempe indicated that not all of Europe is against Turkey and that
    some countries and European political elements support Turkey more
    than others, although Turks feel they are not wanted by the EU.

    "It's still you that will push the EU harder, with your European
    friends -- because if you don't, they [the EU] won't," he said.

    Kemal Köprulu, a member of Bilgi University's board, commented that
    Turkey relies too much on its bilateral ties vis-a-vis Iran and Russia,
    at the risk of losing institutional partners such as the EU and the US.

    Turkey's role revalidated

    Former US Ambassador to Turkey Mark Parris questioned whether Turkey
    is still viewed as a strategic asset by the United States.

    "The simple answer is yes," Parris said and asserted that intense
    debate in Washington regarding the Armenian genocide resolution and
    the fight with the PKK "revalidated" Turkey's strategic importance.

    Participants discussed the fact that although the Bush administration
    was not as active in making Turkey a priority compared to the past,
    a new opportunity to do this is presented by the fight against a
    common enemy, the PKK.

    Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan met with US President George
    W. Bush on Monday in a meeting wherein Bush declared the PKK an enemy
    of the US and promised to fight against it.

    Still, most experts agreed that it is not enough to fully eradicate
    the problems dragging relations between Turkey and the US into a
    deadlock. The US wants the Kurdish administration of northern Iraq to
    be permanent and for Turkey to both normalize relations and develop
    economic cooperation with it.

    One journalist commented that Iraq has changed and the real bargaining
    is about the degree of federation in Iraq and plans for Kirkuk, rather
    than the PKK. Whether or not Turkey can accommodate a greater degree
    of federalism in Iraq is yet to be seen.

    Moderated by TPQ Editor-in-Chief Nigar Göksel, former Foreign
    Minister and NATO's senior civilian representative in Afghanistan
    Hikmet Cetin was among the keynote speakers at the meeting in which
    Robert L. Hutchings, former chairman of the US Intelligence Council,
    and Paul Herman, director of the long-range political program at the
    US National Intelligence Council, also participated.

    --Boundary_(ID_vmzw5wT+jYk30HOoVTTB WQ)--
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