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What Serge Sargsyan believes and what he disbelieves

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  • What Serge Sargsyan believes and what he disbelieves

    Lragir, Armenia
    Oct 5 2007


    WHAT SERGE SARGSYAN BELIEVES AND WHAT SERGE SARGSYAN DISBELIEVES



    When Vladimir Putin in Russia agreed to lead the ticket of the
    pro-government Yedinaya Rossia Party and did not rule out taking up
    the office of prime minister after leaving office of president, many
    started thinking in Armenia that Robert Kocharyan might do the same.
    Certainly, Robert Kocharyan cannot lead the ticket of the Yedinaya
    Rossia Party. The post of prime minister is meant. There had been
    such suppositions before Putin's statement. When Robert Kocharyan
    said he was not worse than others and he was not likely to retire,
    the society thought that the president hinted at the post of prime
    minister after his term of presidency ends. When Putin did not rule
    it out, the society in Armenia came to the definitive conclusion that
    if Putin decided to become prime minister, he would approve Robert
    Kocharyan for the post of prime minister.

    Perhaps Serge Sargsyan is also anxious, who stated a few days after
    Putin that he does not think Robert Kocharyan wants to be prime
    minister. `I have no reason not to believe Robert Kocharyan,' Serge
    Sargsyan stated. Now it is interesting to know what reason he has to
    believe Robert Kocharyan. Not in the sense that the president
    regularly lies, but in the sense what Serge Sargsyan believes and
    what Serge Sargsyan disbelieves. Did he have Robert Kocharyan's word
    not to wish to be prime minister? Perhaps it is rather important
    because if Serge Sargsyan has his word and says he trusts him not to
    go back on his word, it means he fears that if Robert Kocharyan does
    not keep his word, and wishes to be prime minister, Serge Sargsyan
    cannot prevent him. In this case, it is interesting to know what the
    parliament majority led by Serge Sargsyan is for. After all, the
    president appoints prime minister when the parliament majority
    approves the nomination, and if Robert Kocharyan wished to be prime
    minister, Serge Sargsyan could prevent him by relying on the
    parliament majority or might not prevent him but would control Robert
    Kocharyan the prime minister through the parliament majority.


    In other words, the absolute victory on May 12 was thought to
    guarantee Serge Sargsyan absolute control of government levers, and
    his further actions show that he got and uses this possibility. Serge
    Sargsyan leaves no space for even the weather forecast on the air and
    pages of the government propaganda machine. Consequently, he should
    not worry who the next president will be for the parliament is his
    for the next five years. Consequently, when Serge Sargsyan
    disbelieves that Robert Kocharyan will break his promise, which is
    the same as the arrangement, it means he does not think himself to
    control fully the situation, and what Serge Sargsyan is doing now is
    but with the approval of Robert Kocharyan. In other words, the TV
    channels and print media, meetings in the regions, the parliament
    majority have been generously provided to Serge Sargsyan by Robert
    Kocharyan. And it is interesting to know in return for what this
    generosity is. Only security of his life and possessions in the
    future? Judging by Robert Kocharyan's statement that he is not worse
    than others, he would not have been so generous in return for that
    much and would not have given all to Serge Sargsyan and kept only
    retirement for himself. But if they had arranged something else,
    Serge Sargsyan would not fear that Robert Kocharyan would become
    prime minister and take away all his power, turning him into an
    observer. It means Robert Kocharyan and Serge Sargsyan have no
    long-term arrangement. And in this case Robert Kocharyan has more
    advantages because, unlike Serge Sargsyan, his goal is uncertain. It
    is clear that Serge Sargsyan wants to be president but it is not
    clear what Robert Kocharyan wants to be. Consequently, it is easier
    to hinder Serge Sargsyan, for it is known where he is headed for,
    than Robert Kocharyan, for it is unknown toward where he will be
    moving.


    HAKOB BADALYAN
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