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Iran-Armenia: Looking At Future Horizons

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  • Iran-Armenia: Looking At Future Horizons

    IRAN-ARMENIA: LOOKING AT FUTURE HORIZONS
    by Dr Hasan Beheshtipur

    Iran Newspaper, Iran
    Oct 24, 2007

    Dr Hasan Beheshtipur *: The president of the Islamic Republic of Iran,
    Dr Mahmud Ahmadinezhad, visited the Republic of Armenia on Monday
    (30 Mehr) [22 October]. He arrived in the Armenian capital, Yerevan,
    as the head of a high-ranking political-economic delegation.

    [Punctuation as published here and throughout.]

    In the course of his meeting with Robert Kocharyan, the Armenian
    president, he carried out talks about the ways to expand the relations
    of the two neighbouring countries. At the end of the negotiations four
    memoranda of understanding for cooperation and a joint statement were
    signed. The establishment of consulates in the territories of the two
    states, cooperation between the Central Banks, construction of wind
    farms and investment in technical and economic venues constituted
    the four documents signed in this visit.

    Delivering speeches at the Armenian National Assembly and the state
    university at Yerevan and meeting Iranians living in Armenia were
    among Dr Mahmud Ahmadinezhad's other programmes during the visit.

    Relations between Iran and Armenia enjoy a deep historical and
    cultural background. In particular, coexistence attended by mutual
    respect throughout the past long years has redoubled the interest of
    Iran and Armenia to expand and strengthen those relations.

    Following the disintegration of Soviet Union, relations between
    Iran and Armenia entered a new phase. During those years, relations
    between Iran and Armenia have grown in diverse arenas. However, the
    growth has been concentrated mainly in economic cooperation. Among
    the most important aspects of the economic cooperation between the
    two countries is the transfer of electrical power and export of Iran's
    gas to Armenia through a pipeline.

    The gas pipeline from Iran to Armenia was opened in 2007. It is 113km
    long and when it is fully commissioned [and] some 3m cubic metres
    of gas will be exported from Iran to Armenia every day. One of the
    long-term objectives of the project is the setting up of a gateway for
    the export of Iran's gas to Europe. The pipeline has the capacity of
    carrying up to 10m cubic metres of gas and can be one of the routes
    envisaged for exporting Iran's gas to Europe. The Iran-Armenia gas
    pipeline has a diameter of 700mm and capability of transferring
    1.2bn cubic metres of gas per year. Initially, the pipeline will
    export 1.1bn cubic metres of gas [per year] and from 2019 onwards
    it will export 2.3bn cubic metres. In order to reach that capacity,
    the Armenian side is to increase the pipeline of 197kms.

    Trade exchange between Iran and Armenia

    At present, the volume of trade between the two states amounts to 200m
    dollars. Some 160m dollars relate to exports by Iran and 40m to the
    Armenian exports. Tehran and Yerevan are making efforts to increase the
    volume of their trade to more than five times its existing level. Of
    course, the initial target is to bring the volume of trade exchange
    to 500m dollars.

    If we take into account technical and engineering services as well,
    that figure can reach 1bn dollars of trade and services exchanged
    between the two states. In this respect so far more than 90 documents
    on joint cooperation have been signed by the two countries.

    Armenia is among the states that alongside other regional states play
    an effective role in the trade circle of the north-south corridor.

    The corridor has been established between India, Iran and Russia and
    is considered to be one of the important trade routes and the link
    between Europe and East and West Asia.

    The expansion of cooperation in agriculture, fisheries, stockbreeding,
    banking and investment, communications and telecommunications, optical
    fibre and roaming mobiles as well as expansion in cultural, academic
    and educational cooperation are among other fields that have been
    examined during nine rounds of talks between the two states within
    the framework of the Joint Economic Committee. There has been good
    progress in that respect. However, given the aligned outlooks of both
    countries with respect to the stability and security of the region,
    the expansion of Iranian and Armenian relations in the political
    domain too will help deepen political and security convergence in the
    crisis-prone region of south Caucasus and reduce the existing tensions.

    >>From that point of view, the Islamic Republic of Iran is seeking a
    balanced expansion of relations with all the regional states. On that
    basis, Iran has proposed bilateral and multi-lateral cooperation and
    creation of security models on the basis of cooperation between Iran
    and the Caucasus regional states. Iran considers such relations to
    be to the benefit of the collective interests of the states.

    Among the important projects on the agenda of relations between the two
    countries, one can refer to the agreement on the construction of the
    Aras hydroelectric power station, feasibility study for establishing
    a direct rail link between the two countries, preliminary talks
    and setting up of a tripartite committee to study the grounds for
    founding an oil refinery in Armenia with the participation of Iran,
    Russia and Armenia and the setting up of an Iran Trade Centre in
    Armenia with the participation of the private sector.

    The founding of a joint Iran, Russia and Armenia oil refinery
    provides a suitable model for the expansion of Iran's economic ties
    and strengthening of its political relations with the Caucasus regional
    states. On the basis of the history of Iran's policy in the Caucasus,
    which predominantly shows a uniform combination of maturity and
    caution in Iran's foreign policy, southern Caucasus can be considered
    to be the clearest reason for Iran's pro-activeness in its foreign
    policy. Besides being influenced by the positive interaction with
    Russia, the pro-activeness has been affected by the policy of creating
    a positive balance in relations with Azerbaijan and Armenia.

    That has increased Iran's positive role in south Caucasus.

    The second factor that determines the importance of south Caucasus for
    Iran is an outside consideration; that is to say, the competitive clash
    of interests in the region with the West. The clash of interests that
    covers areas outside the regional frontiers from America to Europe
    has acted as an important factor in forming Iran's policies in the
    Caucasus, including Armenia. With such an outlook, the reality of
    the relations between Iran and Armenia has progressed with a common
    understanding of the long-term interests of the two states. In a
    strategic interpretation, Iran looks upon Armenia as more than just a
    neighbour with a history of good bilateral relations and the existence
    of a considerable Armenian minority in Iran.

    Iran looks upon Armenia as a country with a common need for overcoming
    foreign pressures. Two principal and effective factors affecting the
    relations between Iran and Armenia are energy and geopolitics. The
    provision of energy is of vital importance to Armenia as well as
    Iran. The export of gas through Armenia to Europe plays a crucial
    role in giving diversity to export markets. Armenia's position as
    Iran's route to the Caucasus alongside Azerbaijan is most effective
    and crucial. On that basis, the meetings between the presidents of
    the two states which have been taking place regularly in the past two
    years have played a determining role in the expansion of bilateral
    and regional cooperation.

    [Footnote:]

    * Senior expert in Central Asian and Caucasian affairs
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