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ATHENS: Being Held Hostage By Victory

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  • ATHENS: Being Held Hostage By Victory

    BEING HELD HOSTAGE BY VICTORY
    By Nikos Konstandaras

    Kathimerini, Greece
    Oct 29 2007

    When a country loses in war or diplomacy it is logical to expect
    that it will be bound by the conditions imposed by the victor. It
    is less logical, and yet commonplace, that countries can be trapped
    by their success and thus persist with policies that turn out to be
    disastrous in the long term. History is full of great victories that
    ultimately became defeats. In our region, the clearest example of this
    paradoxical entrapment of a victor is the Turkish invasion of Cyprus
    in 1974. The Turks are so proud of this episode that one might think
    it was an earth-shattering achievement - something like the conquests
    of Alexander the Great. The Greek Cypriots suffered all the evils
    of the invasion and the occupation of a part of their country. But,
    though the wounds remain open, the Greek Cypriots recovered. With hard
    work and persistence they created a country that today is flourishing,
    is a member of the European Union and provides its citizens (including
    any Turkish Cypriots who want them) all the freedoms and opportunities
    of a full democracy.

    For Greece, the invasion of Cyprus signaled the fall of the military
    dictatorship in Athens and the establishment of the longest period
    of democracy and social development our country has ever known. What
    did Turkey get? It has been trapped into sustaining the primacy
    of the military over all aspects of life, culminating in the 1981
    coup and the continued "guardianship" of the political system by the
    generals. The occupation of northern Cyprus has cost Turkey billions
    to support the Turkish-Cypriot economy and fund a large occupation
    force. But, above all, Turkish policy on Cyprus - as in the Armenian
    and Kurdish questions - has been trapped in an intransigence born of
    military success that was followed by repeated diplomatic defeats.

    This policy still blocks Turkey's progress toward becoming a member
    of the EU. The Turks, like so many others, very often ignore the
    fact that a political solution which involves a just compromise
    with the defeated is the most effective way to achieve a viable
    and long-lasting solution. The Lausanne Treaty of 1923 is a shining
    example of the wise handling of victory by the Turks - agreeing to a
    situation in which the defeated Greeks too could recover and revive
    their nation. A recent example of how a military victory can trap
    the victor is the American occupation of Iraq. In 1991, the Americans
    (wisely leading a huge international coalition that included regional
    forces) crushed Saddam Hussein's forces and chased them out of Kuwait
    and deep into Iraq. But they left the Iraqi leadership untouched in
    Baghdad. If the victory of 1991 had not been so easy, it is quite
    possible that the Americans might not have allowed themselves to
    be seduced so easily into the invasion of 2003 and the subsequent,
    catastrophic occupation. Closer to us in historical and geographical
    terms is Athens's dispute with Skopje. When in 1992 Prime Minister
    Constantine Mitsotakis badgered Greece's EU partners into deciding
    that our neighbors could not include the name or term Macedonia in
    any form, this was seen as the pinnacle of Greece's great diplomatic
    campaign. That, precisely, was the time for an inspired move by Greece:
    With the impetus of its diplomatic victory it could have proposed
    a just compromise. Such a decision might have enraged those who in
    both countries have made a career out of demanding total victory
    but it would have allowed the two countries to get on with sharing a
    fruitful future. But Athens was trapped by its victory in the European
    Union, with no subsequent government wanting to step back from the
    absolutist demands of the past. Skopje, with nothing to lose, did
    the only thing left to it: It donned the mantle of the victim and
    began to collect supporters for its own intransigence. (Of course,
    the Albanian problem did, and still does, present a mortal threat,
    so the talk of victimhood is not entirely unwarranted.) Today, Athens
    is proposing a compromise. But it is too late. Skopje already enjoys
    much greater diplomatic support than Athens. But if our neighbors
    believe that a temporary advantage justifies their intransigence,
    they will squander the last opportunity for a just solution to a
    problem that should no longer hamper their coexistence with Greece.
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