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According To CBA Chairman, Riskiness Of 2008 State Budget Is Greater

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  • According To CBA Chairman, Riskiness Of 2008 State Budget Is Greater

    ACCORDING TO CBA CHAIRMAN, RISKINESS OF 2008 STATE BUDGET IS GREATER AS COMPARED WITH PREVIOUS ONE

    Noyan Tapan
    Oct 29 2007

    YEREVAN, OCTOBER 29, NOYAN TAPAN. The RA minister of finance and
    economy Vardan Khachatrian takes the view that although the 2008
    state budget contains some risks, they are not considerable as
    compared with previous years, in particular, with 2007. However,
    in the opinion of the chairman of the Central Bank of Armenia (CBA)
    Tigran Sargsian, the riskiness of the 2008 state budget is greater -
    due to influence of international markets.

    According to him, next year's risks can be divided into several
    groups. The most important ones are pressures that come grom the
    global market and have an essential impact on the macroenvironment:
    in particular, dangerous phenomena form in the financial sector and
    can grow into a global crisis.

    Among risks are the depreciation of the dollar againt other currencies,
    as well as a sharp rise in prices of oil, oil products, foodstuffs
    in international market, which will also affect Armenia importing
    these goods.

    T. Sargsian said that in 2008 the CBA and the Armenian government have
    a lot to do in terms of managing the level of prices and controlling
    specific commodity markets. In his opinion, among external risks are
    structural problems arising in financial markets in connection with
    a number of big financial institutions that do not have sufficient
    liquidity.

    Another group of risks is conditioned by internal factors in Armenia.

    Particularly, in case of high inflation pressures, a necessity arises
    to raise interest rates, which naturally hinders development of
    financial mediation, large-scale provision of business credits, which
    in its turn affects the economic growth. Another factor contributing to
    risks is the problem of financing a budgetary deficit as the financing
    from domestic sources will sharply grow in 2008. Besides, the fact
    that tax collection lags behind GDP growth rates causes some problems.
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