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Russians Close To Buying Another Major Armenian Enterprise

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  • Russians Close To Buying Another Major Armenian Enterprise

    RUSSIANS CLOSE TO BUYING ANOTHER MAJOR ARMENIAN ENTERPRISE
    By Emil Danielyan

    Eurasia Daily Monitor, DC
    Sept 5 2007

    A Russian financial-industrial group looks set to acquire an
    Indian-owned company that develops the bulk of Armenia's gold
    reserves. The deal, if it goes through, will give a further boost to
    Russia's already strong economic presence in the South Caucasus states
    resulting from not only its traditional geopolitical orientation
    but also the vested interests of Armenian leaders. The Armenian
    government has clearly been the driving force behind the takeover,
    having effectively forced Vedanta Resources, a mining conglomerate
    owned by Indian billionaire Aneel Agarwal, to sell the Ararat Gold
    Recovery Company (AGCR) earlier this year.

    AGCR, which extracts and smelts ore from the country's two largest gold
    deposits, was set up in 1998 as an Armenian-Canadian joint venture. The
    Indians purchased it in 2002, pledging to make large-scale capital
    investments and increase its production. They apparently have not
    fulfilled those pledges, with AGRC output steadily (and inexplicably)
    declining in recent years despite record-high world prices of gold. In
    2005, the Yerevan government accused AGRC management of underreporting
    production and evading millions of dollars in taxes. The company
    managed to avoid hefty fines at the time, reaching a murky out-of-court
    settlement with the authorities.

    But its fate was essentially sealed last January when Armenian
    prosecutors raided the AGRC offices in the southern town of Ararat,
    home to the company's gold smelter. (Both the smelter and the AGRC
    mines at Meghradzor and Zod have stood idle since then.) Shortly
    afterwards Vedanta was accused of large-scale tax fraud and licensing
    and environmental violations. The prosecutors pressed the charges in
    early August, formally asking Armenia's Economic Court to fine the
    company $22 million.

    Top AGRC executives rejected the case as baseless, accusing the
    government of squeezing Vedanta out of the country. Still, the Indian
    tycoon apparently had no choice but to put up his Armenian subsidiary
    for sale. The Russian group Promyshlennye Investments promptly emerged
    as its most likely buyer, opening takeover talks with Vedanta early
    this summer. Reports in Armenian and Russian media have said that the
    two sides are close to reaching an agreement whereby AGRC will be
    sold to a Georgian subsidiary of Promyshlennye Investments for $86
    million. A spokesman for the Russian company declined to confirm or
    refute those reports last week, saying only that the talks should be
    over by mid-September.

    In the meantime, representatives of the Prosecutor-General's Office
    failed to turn up for the first court hearing on the lawsuit against
    AGRC, which was due to take place on August 20. This was another
    indication that the main purpose of the fraud case was a change of
    the AGRC ownership and that the Armenian authorities will drop it
    should the would-be takeover materialize.

    Incidentally, the authorities moved against Vedanta immediately after
    President Robert Kocharian's January meeting in Sochi with his Russian
    counterpart, Vladimir Putin. Economic ties were reportedly high on
    the agenda of the talks. The two leaders met again in the Russian
    Black Sea city on August 23. In televised remarks, Putin noted
    "the truly allied character" of the Russian-Armenian relationship
    and welcomed the 70% surge in bilateral trade registered during the
    first half of this year. His spokesman, Sergei Prikhodko, was quoted
    by the Itar-Tass news agency as saying that Kocharian "highly rated
    Russian business interest in investing in his country."

    That interest has visibly grown in the past several years. Russian
    energy giants like Gazprom and Unified Energy Systems have won control
    over much of Armenia's energy sector as a result of controversial swap
    agreements that allowed Yerevan to repay its debt to Moscow and avoid,
    until 2009, a rise in the price of Russian natural gas. In addition,
    a leading Russian mobile operator, Vimpelcom, bought the Armenian
    national telephone company, ArmenTel, from the Greek telecom giant
    OTE late last year. Another Russian telecom giant, MTS, is showing
    strong interest in Armenia's largest mobile phone network, currently
    owned by Lebanese investors.

    The Russians are now keen to extend their presence to other sectors
    of the Armenian economy, notably mining. The purchase of AGRC would
    be a major addition to their Armenian holdings. Its largest Zod
    deposit, located in eastern Armenia, contains an estimated 80 tons of
    gold. According to Armenian press reports, Russian companies may also
    soon get hold of the country's two cement plants, owned by wealthy
    businessmen close to Kocharian and his most influential lieutenant,
    Prime Minister Serge Sarkisian.

    Kocharian and Sarkisian continue to ignore the serious concerns
    about Armenia's growing economic dependence on Russia expressed
    by opposition politicians and independent observers. The two men
    have heavily relied on the Kremlin in dealing with their political
    opponents throughout their nearly decade-long joint rule. They have
    clearly been willing to pay any price for continued Russian support,
    be it economic assets or a particular foreign policy orientation.

    That support will be essential for the success of Sarkisian's plans
    to succeed Kocharian in a presidential election due early next year.

    Kocharian is also seeking Moscow's backing for securing his own
    political future. What he wants to do after completing a second
    and final term in office is less certain, though. The Yerevan daily
    Haykakan Zhamanak claimed on August 14 that he is lobbying the Kremlin
    to merge all Russian-controlled Armenian enterprises into a single
    consortium and appoint him as its chief executive.

    (Hayk, August 30; Zhamanak Yerevan; August 29; RFE/RL Armenia Report,
    August 28, August 2; Itar-Tass, August 23; Haykakan Zhamanak,
    August 14)
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