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  • Vimpelcom Sees Voice Growth, Trials Mobile Data

    VIMPELCOM SEES VOICE GROWTH, TRIALS MOBILE DATA

    Reuters
    Tue Sep 11, 2007 2:21PM EDT

    MOSCOW (Reuters) - Vimpelcom (VIP.N: Quote, Profile, Research) sees
    voice services as its main source of growth, the chief executive of
    Russia's second-largest mobile phone operator said on Tuesday.

    But it is looking to provide mobile broadband to homes on the outskirts
    of the urban centers where it operates, Alexander Izosimov told the
    Reuters Russia Investment Summit.

    Vimpelcom is trialling a USB modem in Tajikistan, one of several
    former Soviet republics it operates in.

    Others include Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Georgia and Armenia.

    "I still think that voice would be a prime driver (of growth in average
    revenue per user, or ARPU) for this year and maybe for the next year as
    well. Until actively 3G starts kicking in with the broadband, I think
    voice will be by far the most pronounced, defining factor for growth."

    Izosimov sees Vimpelcom benefiting from being able to deploy its 2G and
    3G technologies at the same time, producing cost savings from the use
    of common infrastructure. He declined to say which network providers
    had been shortlisted to roll out the system, but said negotiations
    over price were continuing.

    Vimpelcom, owned by two sparring shareholders, is snapping at the
    heels of Russia's largest mobile operator MTS and has overtaken it
    in market capitalization thanks to a faster growth rate.

    Vimpelcom's two main shareholders are the telecoms arm of Alfa Group,
    an investment vehicle for Russian billionaire Mikhail Fridman, and
    Norway's Telenor (TEL.OL: Quote, Profile, Research).

    While Vimpelcom was looking to overtake MTS in terms of revenue, it
    would not be locked into a battle with its rival to be top in terms
    of subscriber numbers as long as operators did not reveal comparable
    figures, Izosimov said.

    Based on growth models for other more mature markets, the Russian
    mobile sector would continue to see strong growth for some time yet
    as Russians used their mobiles more, both for voice and data services,
    he added.

    Telecom and mobiles should grow for years to come."

    Izosimov said Vimpelcom was employing sophisticated data mining to
    ensure that the products it offered to subscribers were relevant to
    the individual user, thereby driving up ARPU.

    During the summer the operator had given users a special offer on
    calling the numbers they dialled most frequently, a service for which
    it would now charge the full rate, leaving its customers to decide
    whether it was a service they wanted.

    KISS AND MAKE UP?

    Izosimov is convinced that despite a long-running dispute between
    Alfa and Telenor, time and changing personalities mean the two will
    eventually forget their differences.

    Telenor opposes a Vimpelcom move into Ukraine where it already controls
    market leader Kyivstar, also co-owned by Alfa.

    While a deal was unlikely in the near term, Izosimov believes that
    Alfa and its telecom arm Altimo's stated strategy of wanting to roll
    all their holdings into a minority stake in a major telecoms group
    is not just a pipe dream.

    This could involve Telenor and TeliaSonera (TLSN.ST: Quote, Profile,
    Research) combining assets in Russia, Ukraine and Turkey.

    "One can speculate that actually Alfa would be a very interesting
    catalyst to merge all of it to a single company that would be a
    pan-Scandinavian, pan-CIS, Turkey and probably aiming for further
    expansion into Asia," Izosimov said.

    "Clearly this is not going to happen this year or next year; nobody
    is talking about such a short term. But in a longer run it might
    happen. There is reasonably high probability," he said.
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