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    BIRTH CONTROL

    TOL Czech Republic
    14 September 2007

    Paying people to have babies in Nagorno-Karabakh overshadows the need
    to resolve an old conflict.

    If you want to have children, France is not a bad place to start. If
    that enviable national sense of style, manner and sensuality aren't
    reasons enough to encourage love, the state provides generous
    incentives to couples who perpetuate the Gallic stock.

    Acknowledging a declining birth rate, Russia has also started offering
    incentives to families that have a second or third child. And the
    governor of the central Russian region of Ulyanovsk recently offered
    cars or other prizes to couples who have a baby on the next Russian
    national day, 12 June.

    Not to be outdone, the tiny, breakaway territory of Nagorno-Karabakh
    is offering its own rewards to prolific parents. According to media
    reports, the local authorities will pay $700 for the third child born
    to a family, $1,000 for the fourth child, and raise the payments in
    steps up to $3,000 for the 10th offspring. The Armenian news agency
    ArmInfo reported this week that one Nagorno-Karabakh mother, Emilia
    Poghosian, received $5,000 for giving birth to her 15th child.

    But Nagorno-Karabakh is not France or Russia, and a parent would have
    to have a certain amount of daring - or a lot of altruism - to want
    to bring children into the world there. It is technically still in a
    state of war with Azerbaijan. There are few jobs for young people and
    access to the world beyond is limited to the narrow Lachin corridor,
    a mountainous passage heavily fought over in the war between Armenia
    and Azerbaijan in the early 1990s. Most students have to settle on
    Armenia for a university education.

    Nagorno-Karabakh relies almost entirely on its benefactor state,
    Armenia, and Armenian diaspora communities for support. Funds raised
    in the United States, France and other places with affluent and
    influential Armenian communities have helped pay for roads, schools
    and reconstruction projects. Some Armenians visiting their ethnic
    cousins there lament that public facilities are better in the breakaway
    region than their own country. Indeed, the capital Stepanakert has
    a far more prosperous look than the closest Armenian town, Goris.

    The self-declared Republic of Nagorno-Karabakh has about 140,000
    residents who are technically stateless.

    The region once had a significantly larger population, a mix of
    ethnic Armenians and Azeris, when it was a semi-autonomous part of
    the Azerbaijan Soviet Socialist Republic. The separatist war, one of
    several triggered in the Caucasus as the Soviet Union disintegrated,
    created one of the largest refugee exoduses since the second world
    war as Azeris fled the region and other parts of Azerbaijan that were
    seized by the Armenian army.

    LINGERING HATRED

    Antagonisms exist in the political realm, but also in personal
    relations between Armenians and Azeris that keep the conflict alive,
    more than a decade after a cease-fire went into effect. To highlight
    the tense relations, Azeris and Armenians got into raucous arguments
    at sessions of a recent economic gathering in Poland aimed at finding
    common ground on trade and business cooperation.

    Old-guard politicians routinely use Nagorno-Karabakh for political
    advantage, perpetuating the nationalist sentiments that have undermined
    peace efforts. And there seems to be no letup in the tragic state
    of events.

    Armenian Prime Minister Serge Sarkisian, the favorite to succeed
    President Robert Kocharian, told the National Assembly this week that
    the government would ensure a "balance of forces" in the region, while
    the nation's defense minister announced increased spending on weapons
    and air power. Sarkisian, like the president, was a leader in the
    Nagorno-Karabakh separatist movement in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

    Earlier this summer, Azeri President Ilham Aliev did little to defuse
    tensions when he declared that his nation was living in a "state of
    war" and called for more defense spending - this in a petroleum-rich
    country where nearly half of people live in poverty.

    In July, Nagorno-Karabakh's leaders angered the Organization for
    Security and Cooperation in Europe and other mediators by holding
    a presidential election full of verbal attacks on Azerbaijan and
    opponents of an independent republic. Mediators fear that the
    heated rhetoric of the election in Nagorno-Karabakh is a harbinger
    for presidential elections scheduled next year in both Armenia and
    Azerbaijan.

    Amid all this political bombast, it remains to be seen whether
    couples in Nagorno-Karabakh will jump at the chance to get paid to
    have babies. No doubt leaders there think there is a pressing need to
    address the demographic imbalances in the region. Friendly Armenia,
    with barely 3 million people, has a declining growth rate while
    arch-foe Azerbaijan, with 8.1 million, has a growing population.

    The war between Armenia and Azerbaijan killed more than 30,000 people,
    and each year more people are wounded or die in mine accidents along
    the militarized border. The least the leaders of today could do
    for the generations of tomorrow is to ensure that the killing ends
    and conciliation begins. And that's a far more lasting investment in
    demographic stability than gimmicks to get people to produce children
    into a troubled and uncertain environment.
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