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The Light Dark Economy Of Sunny Armenia

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  • The Light Dark Economy Of Sunny Armenia

    THE LIGHT DARK ECONOMY OF SUNNY ARMENIA

    Lragir.am
    18-09-2007 15:25:04

    The budget is calculated by the rate of exchange of currency. The
    budget of 2008 must be calculated by the present exchange rate of
    the dram because a major fluctuation of the exchange rate of the dram
    is unlikely in the upcoming few days, said Gagik Minasyan, chair of
    the Standing Committee of Finance and Budget on September 18 at the
    Hayeli Club. He thinks the 2.5 billion budget is realistic. He says it
    is possible to provide this index through economic growth and battle
    against black economy.

    It is obvious that we have considerable reserves. I would like to
    mention two. The first is the black economy, and I have said that in
    the past few years the rate of growth of return on tax has exceeded
    the growth of the GDP, and it means that we gradually increased budget
    receipts. It should be noted, however, that the rates observed so far
    are not sufficient, and we have considerable reserves. The first is
    battle against black economy. The other is the enhancement of the
    role of economic competition. Obviously, we have problems, Gagik
    Minasyan says.

    What he says is strange because the same monopolists and black
    businesses ran in the parliamentary election and supported the
    Republican Party and other pro-government parties. It is not clear how
    the government is going to battle the businessmen who helped it come
    to power. "I don't want to evaluate. I want to mention the fat that
    over the past 5-6 years black economy has been cut, so the answer of
    the question is obvious," Gagik Minasyan says. On the other hand, he
    says the government does not know where the black economy is. In that
    case, how does it battle black economy and expect to have such a big
    budget. Gagik Minasyan says they do not know where black economy is
    but the ratio of return on tax to the GDP shows that tax collections
    do not overlap with the growth of the GDP, in other words, there is
    shadow economy.

    As to the worries that with an economy based on building, dropping
    amount of export and volume of industry we are on the verge of an
    economic crisis, Gagik Minasyan is not worried. He says when a branch
    of economy declines, the other branch develops because the Armenian
    economy is not built on one sphere, and is diversified. "Like the
    river which is nourished by a lot of obituaries. The amounts of
    water in different obituaries are different. The amount of water is
    different in different years as well. The obituaries keep the water
    flowing in the river. Such is our economy, and not only ours but also
    the economies of other countries of the world," Gagik Minasyan says,
    reassuring that the budget of 2008 will be performed.

    The opposition member of parliament Larissa Alaverdyan, Heritage
    faction, who was hosted at the Hayeli Club for a debate with Gagik
    Minasyan on the budget does not doubt. Nevertheless, Larissa Alaverdyan
    says without changing the methodological approach to the budget we
    will have a budget of survival, "a budget of justification of the
    government." "The huge cash circulation shows there is no political
    will to cut black economy," Larissa Alaverdyan says.

    According to him, the Armenian black economy is lightest of all
    because Armenia is not the country which can have major black economy.
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