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Tehran: Gas export gives Iran bigger intl. influence: MP

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  • Tehran: Gas export gives Iran bigger intl. influence: MP

    Tehran Times, Iran

    September 24, 2007

    Gas export gives Iran bigger intl. influence: MP

    TEHRAN (PIN) - Iran could play a more effective role
    in the region and major parts of the world by
    exporting gas to India and Europe, said a member of
    parliament's Plan and Budget Committee here Sunday.

    Morteza Tamaddon told PIN, `We should not have a
    unilateral view of gas export and think of only
    economic interests as gas export to India and Europe
    serves interests beyond economic profits, empowering
    Iran in the region and world.'

    He said the country now lacked enough capacity to
    refine the whole volume of produced gas, adding the
    country would have no alternative but export the
    commodity until the refining capacity reached its
    desirable level.

    `If we stop exporting gas and derive gas from jointly
    owned fields according to domestic refining capacity,
    we will be outpaced and a part of resources will
    fade,' noted the lawmaker.

    Caretaker of the Oil Ministry Gholamhossein Nozari
    said Iran was pursuing the export of natural gas,
    adding the policy was underlined in the directives of
    the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution.

    He said the country held more than 15 percent of the
    world's gas reserves and it needed to have greater
    share in the global gas market.

    Nozari said some countries, which had less than two
    percent of the world gas reserves, currently had a
    seven percent share in the global market.

    The comments clearly put to question certain domestic
    objections to the policy of exporting gas. Some
    analysts and Majlis deputies have criticized the
    government's policy to export gas, arguing that the
    country needs gas for domestic use as well as for
    injection into oilfields. Although the idea is partly
    defendable, its proponents ignore that production of
    gas for domestic use and injection into oilfields
    needs investment. Funds are required to develop gas
    fields, especially since those shared with Qatar
    cannot be allocated by the government. Gas projects
    certainly need foreign and private investments.

    State funds have not even been sufficient for
    infrastructure projects since the Third Five-Year
    Development Plan (2000-2005). So attraction of foreign
    and private investments has been a priority for the
    government. Deals in the buyback and finance modes
    have also been introduced with the aim of attracting
    investments.

    Recent negotiations with European countries including
    Austria and Switzerland as well as with Turkey have
    opened new horizon export and expanding production.

    Managing director of the National Iranian Gas Company
    earlier said that Iran was able to export $35 billion
    cubic meters of gas to Europe once contracts were
    finalized.

    Under the agreement, the country will export $35
    billion cubic meters via Turkey to Europe.

    Gas export to the Indian subcontinent has topped that
    agenda for the past 15 years. If signed, the deal
    helps materialize an important part of long-term
    policies to make Iran a major gas exporter.

    Now, the question is whether Iran will be able to
    become a major exporter and also to supply gas for
    household, industrial, commercial sectors and power
    plants, and to inject into oilfields. As per target of
    Vision 2025, Iran should become the world's third gas
    producer by the year. It also has to attain a share of
    eight to 10 percent of global trade in gas products.

    Given that Iran has abundant gas reserves, the
    objective can easily be achieved if it is properly
    planned and its gas fields are developed.

    The country has to redouble efforts to achieve an 8-10
    percent share in the world gas market.

    Global gas trade either through pipeline or in the
    form of the liquefied natural gas (LNG) stood at 581
    billion cubic meters in 2002. The figure reached 748
    billion cubic meters in 2006, registering an annual
    6.5 percent growth. If the current trend continues,
    world gas demand will hit 1,800 billion cubic meters
    by 2020. Some 8-10 percent of this figure will be
    amounted to 144 billion to 180 billion cubic meters.
    In other words, Iran has to increase its gas exports
    by 12-15 folds and production by five times.

    This is while the priority was given to domestic
    consumption and injection of gas into old oilfield.

    If production is increased to 600 billion cubic
    meters, the country can become the world's second gas
    producer by 2025.

    Petroleum Ministry figures suggest Iran has 28.3
    trillion cubic meters while domestic consumption is
    321 million cubic meters per day or 117 billion cubic
    meters per year. If consumption rises by an average of
    eight percent, Iran will need six trillion cubic
    meters of gas annually by 2025. It is predicted that
    total gas injected into oilfields will exceed 1.6
    trillion to 1.9 trillion by 2025. So total gas
    consumed will be eight trillion or 29 percent of the
    country's gas reserves by 2025.

    Despite all the figures, some analysts and
    policymakers support the idea of becoming a gas
    exporter. They opine if the country sets aside only
    five percent of its gas reserves for export, the
    target set in Vision 2025 can be achieved.

    But the important issue is that the country should
    attract investments in the sector to meet domestic
    demand and to increase production. The only way to
    attract investments is opening the doors to foreign
    investors. Another solution is to bolster private
    sector's role. Unless the government overhauls the
    structure of its energy sector, these objectives
    cannot be materialized
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