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"L. A. ARMENIANS MAY BE EXPELLED TO YEREVAN SUBURBS OVERNIGHT"
Today
http://www.today.az/news/politics/71563.html
July 29 2010
Azerbaijan
Interview with Azerbaijani political expert Vafa Guluzade.
In your opinion, why does Armenia reject the proposals to de-occupy
Azerbaijan's territories surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh in the course
of 5 years?
Liberation of at least one region by Armenia will lead to a breach of
military engineering lines in the occupied territory. But even this
is not the main thing. It is Russia who holds keys to the resolution
of the Karabakh conflict. Moscow, in turn, does not want this conflict
to be resolved. Russia wants to prevent penetration of the U.S. in our
region, because the South Caucasus has traditionally been in the sphere
of Russian influence. I think, if Armenia agrees to de-occupy 20%
of Azerbaijani territory, there will be forces ready to prevent that.
As of late former Armenian President Ter-Petrosyan has been under
constant criticism by authorities for his statements that Armenia's
development is impossible without solving Karabakh conflict on the
basis of compromise. Do you think there are still political forces
in Armenia ready for a constructive dialogue on Karabakh?
I would not call them "forces". Armenia and all its policies are
controlled from outside. But, of course, in Yerevan there a lot
of sensible people who understand that without a solution to the
Karabakh conflict it is impossible to stop the degradation Armenia
is going through. These people are ready to go for a leader who
is determined to take active actions in Karabakh, because they see
that their neighbors have long entered the 21st century in terms of
development, while Armenia is still stalled in the 80s. Sober-minded
people in Armenia are ready to go for peace with its neighbors, but the
problem is that outside forces will never allow them to come to power.
Armenian diaspora has strong influence on many decisions adopted in
Armenia. In your opinion, is the diaspora ready to compromise in the
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict resolution to pave a way for the country's
development?
I am just wondering whether the Armenian Diaspora is aware that
it is being manipulated. For example, in the U.S. it is sometimes
advantageous for Washington speak through Armenian diaspora.
Therefore, their lobby still exists there. But if they cease to
be of interest to the White House, or will act against their will,
they will simply be "kicked out".
This reminds me the moment in history after the surprise attack by
Japan on U.S. military base at Pearl Harbor. After that incident the
Japanese were unceremoniously expelled from the States, "free country"
with "much vaunted" democracy. Similarly, the Armenians of Los Angeles,
if necessary, may be overnight expelled to the suburbs of Yerevan,
where actions of the diaspora contradict Washington's political
line. Therefore, the influence of the Armenian diaspora should not
be exaggerated.
Those in Armenia constantly declare that they will do everything to
extend Kosovo scenario to the occupied territories of Azerbaijan...
This is not even worth thinking. "Parade" in the world is managed by
the U.S., which is the sole world power. Yugoslavia's disintegration
was advantageous for the U.S. So, several small states replaced
a single large country and this process of fragmentation is still
ongoing. With regard to Karabakh, Washington has entirely different
interests in this regard. Not accidentally, U.S. Assistant Secretary
Philip Gordon said that Kosovo and the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict are
totally different things. So, it is at least naïve to think that
Kosovo scenario will take place in Nagorno-Karabakh on Armenia's
initiative.
From: A. Papazian
Today
http://www.today.az/news/politics/71563.html
July 29 2010
Azerbaijan
Interview with Azerbaijani political expert Vafa Guluzade.
In your opinion, why does Armenia reject the proposals to de-occupy
Azerbaijan's territories surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh in the course
of 5 years?
Liberation of at least one region by Armenia will lead to a breach of
military engineering lines in the occupied territory. But even this
is not the main thing. It is Russia who holds keys to the resolution
of the Karabakh conflict. Moscow, in turn, does not want this conflict
to be resolved. Russia wants to prevent penetration of the U.S. in our
region, because the South Caucasus has traditionally been in the sphere
of Russian influence. I think, if Armenia agrees to de-occupy 20%
of Azerbaijani territory, there will be forces ready to prevent that.
As of late former Armenian President Ter-Petrosyan has been under
constant criticism by authorities for his statements that Armenia's
development is impossible without solving Karabakh conflict on the
basis of compromise. Do you think there are still political forces
in Armenia ready for a constructive dialogue on Karabakh?
I would not call them "forces". Armenia and all its policies are
controlled from outside. But, of course, in Yerevan there a lot
of sensible people who understand that without a solution to the
Karabakh conflict it is impossible to stop the degradation Armenia
is going through. These people are ready to go for a leader who
is determined to take active actions in Karabakh, because they see
that their neighbors have long entered the 21st century in terms of
development, while Armenia is still stalled in the 80s. Sober-minded
people in Armenia are ready to go for peace with its neighbors, but the
problem is that outside forces will never allow them to come to power.
Armenian diaspora has strong influence on many decisions adopted in
Armenia. In your opinion, is the diaspora ready to compromise in the
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict resolution to pave a way for the country's
development?
I am just wondering whether the Armenian Diaspora is aware that
it is being manipulated. For example, in the U.S. it is sometimes
advantageous for Washington speak through Armenian diaspora.
Therefore, their lobby still exists there. But if they cease to
be of interest to the White House, or will act against their will,
they will simply be "kicked out".
This reminds me the moment in history after the surprise attack by
Japan on U.S. military base at Pearl Harbor. After that incident the
Japanese were unceremoniously expelled from the States, "free country"
with "much vaunted" democracy. Similarly, the Armenians of Los Angeles,
if necessary, may be overnight expelled to the suburbs of Yerevan,
where actions of the diaspora contradict Washington's political
line. Therefore, the influence of the Armenian diaspora should not
be exaggerated.
Those in Armenia constantly declare that they will do everything to
extend Kosovo scenario to the occupied territories of Azerbaijan...
This is not even worth thinking. "Parade" in the world is managed by
the U.S., which is the sole world power. Yugoslavia's disintegration
was advantageous for the U.S. So, several small states replaced
a single large country and this process of fragmentation is still
ongoing. With regard to Karabakh, Washington has entirely different
interests in this regard. Not accidentally, U.S. Assistant Secretary
Philip Gordon said that Kosovo and the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict are
totally different things. So, it is at least naïve to think that
Kosovo scenario will take place in Nagorno-Karabakh on Armenia's
initiative.
From: A. Papazian