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The Blooming Friendship Between Azerbaijan And Israel

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  • The Blooming Friendship Between Azerbaijan And Israel

    THE BLOOMING FRIENDSHIP BETWEEN AZERBAIJAN AND ISRAEL
    BYLINE: By Anna Zamejc

    Radio Free Europe
    March 9, 2010
    Czech Rep

    When 13 years ago the late Azerbaijani President Heydar Aliyev received
    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Baku, it was considered
    a bold and politically risky decision. No red carpets were rolled out,
    and the meeting was purposely kept low-key.

    Today, however, no such precautions are needed, as visits of Israeli
    leaders to Azerbaijan are no longer matters of domestic controversy.

    However, the peculiar relationship of the two countries continues
    to elude easy characterizations. Some external observers see it as a
    typical marriage of convenience, while others tend to take it as an
    alarming threat.

    Although Azerbaijan is a predominantly Shi'ite Muslim country and a
    majority of ethnic Azeris live in neighboring Iran (a ferocious enemy
    of Israel), Baku routinely shares intelligence with the Jewish state,
    buys its arms, and considers it trustworthy in security matters,
    completely contradicting stereotypes about a "clash of civilizations."

    Further, the informal alliance seems to undermine the geopolitical
    game that the strongest actors -- Russia and Iran -- are determined
    to play in the region.

    Given how advanced bilateral relations are and how strong the mutual
    trust appears, it might sound surprising that 18 years of diplomatic
    contacts have not produced a single official treaty between Israel and
    Azerbaijan. Moreover, Azerbaijani authorities remain vague to this day
    about the widely anticipated potential opening of an embassy in Israel.

    Why? The answer can be found in Iran.

    Thorn In The Side

    "Today, everyone understands why Iran wants to block the
    Azerbaijani-Israeli rapprochement by any means," Baku-born former
    Knesset member Josef Chagall, a major champion of Israeli-Azerbaijani
    ties, said in an interview with RFE/RL's Azerbaijani Service. "It
    is one of the most important strategic priorities of the Islamic
    republic. Tehran is perfectly aware of the following: the stronger the
    connection between Baku and Jerusalem, the more weakened Iran will be."

    Iran, which aspires to be a regional leader, would like to see
    Azerbaijan play by its rules. But Azerbaijan, whose secular system is
    a thorn in the side of the Islamic regime, not only refuses to conform
    to Tehran's dictates but has also crossed a red line by befriending
    the sworn enemy of Iran's president.

    Azerbaijan has always felt threatened and continues to feel threatened
    [by Iran] from an ideological, economic, and political point of
    view."Very characteristic in this regard is the reaction of Iranian
    President Mahmud Ahmadinejad to the official visit of Israeli President
    Shimon Peres to Azerbaijan in...2009. In hysterical tones, the Iranian
    leader demanded that the leadership of Azerbaijan immediately cancel
    the visit of 'the head of the Zionist entity' and 'the main enemy of
    Muslims,'" Shagal recalls, adding that all Tehran's efforts proved
    counterproductive as Peres was received in Azerbaijan with the
    highest honors.

    "It is worth noting the dignity and tact with which Azerbaijani
    President Ilham Aliyev recommended that his Iranian counterpart
    refrain from giving advice to a leader of a sovereign state on to
    whom to show hospitality and to whom to refuse it," he added.

    Although Iran may not be in a position to keep Israel and Azerbaijan
    completely apart, it has been successful in one respect: Despite
    numerous calls from the Jewish state, Azerbaijan has still not opened
    an embassy in Israel because of pressure from Tehran.

    This creates a sort of diplomatic asymmetry as it has been 16 years
    since Israel established its embassy in Azerbaijan. However, Baku has
    thus far been reluctant to reciprocate. The advanced contacts with
    Israel have already put a grave chill on Baku's relations with Tehran,
    and provoking Iran with an embassy in Israel could prove too costly
    for Azerbaijan, even triggering a backlash from other Muslim states.

    "Repeated efforts by Baku to find out how its southern neighbor
    would react to opening an Azerbaijani Embassy in Israel have always
    encountered Iranian ultimatums," Shagal says, stressing that it would
    not only be Iranian-Azerbaijani relations that would suffer a massive
    blow, but Baku would eventually have to pay the price in the area that
    is of vital importance for the Caucasus republic: Nagorno-Karabakh.

    "If Azerbaijan opens an embassy in Israel, then Iran will declare on
    behalf of the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC) a refusal
    to support Azerbaijan in its conflict with Armenia, and would also
    disavow all the efforts of Azerbaijan and its supporters in the OIC
    for the restoration of its territorial integrity and the return of
    Nagorno-Karabakh," Shagal says.

    Influence Stability

    Alexander Murinson, an independent researcher and academic writer who
    follows developments in Israeli-Azerbaijani relations, is also afraid
    that Baku could face difficulties once it decides to open the embassy.

    "Iran can cause trouble for authorities in Azerbaijan and influence
    the stability of the country. So obviously that's another way of Iran
    trying to influence the diplomatic relationship between Israel and
    Azerbaijan," Murinson says.

    "Azerbaijan has always felt threatened and continues to feel threatened
    [by Iran] from an ideological, economic, and political point of
    view. Iran obviously has a religious network in Azerbaijan that could
    undermine the secular nature of the current regime in Azerbaijan,"
    Murinson adds.

    Despite those dangers, the IzRus portal reported last month, quoting
    Israel's ambassador to Azerbaijan, Michael Lavon-Lotem, that Baku will
    soon open an embassy in Tel Aviv. Murinson warns that this might be
    mere posturing, like a similar announcement in 2006. But he believes
    that this time it could be for real.

    "That development has been expected for many years, because the
    relationship is thriving both in terms of economic trade ties and also
    in the military field," Murinson says. "It might be an indication that
    some agreement has been reached on very deep strategic cooperation
    between the two parties that may not have been publicized."

    A potential embassy would certainly be a culmination of Israel's
    long-term efforts to persuade Baku to formalize relations and could
    boost Israel's position abroad.

    "For Israel, which is now faced by tremendous diplomatic pressure
    around the globe for many reasons, when a Muslim country, especially
    a Shi'ite country, makes this kind of announcement, it indicates for
    Israel that it has a friend in the region. In such an environment,
    Azerbaijan making this diplomatic move [would] create a very important,
    positive dynamic for the state of Israel," Murinson says.

    What's In It For Baku?

    Aran Amnon, an expert on the Middle East who lectures at City
    University in London, adds that Israel might be now particularly
    interested in strengthening ties with Baku as the threat of Iranian
    nuclear capacity takes center stage in Israeli foreign policy.

    "Israel has an interest in trying to improve its standing with as many
    countries as possible, especially those who may be directly affected
    by Iran and might by persuaded to be supportive of Israeli efforts,"
    Amnon says.

    But in international relations, every nation acts on its own
    interests. The gains seem obvious for Israel, but why should Baku be
    willing to take the risk? Murinson links the potential switch to the
    new dynamics that were created by Turkish-Armenian rapprochement and
    the deteriorating relations between Ankara and Tel Aviv.

    In fact, Baku has a lot of other reasons for being interested
    in deepening ties with Israel. Israel is an important source of
    military equipment, and reportedly it was Israel who helped Baku
    rebuild its army after the heavy losses it suffered during the war
    over Nagorno-Karabakh. The military aspect of the relationship has
    been present ever since.

    "During the visit of Simon Peres, a very important contract was
    signed which included construction of a plant in Azerbaijan that would
    produce unmanned aerial vehicles. By doing so, Azerbaijan would become
    an important producer of very advanced systems in the region -- even
    Russia doesn't have advanced unmanned aerial vehicles," Murinson says,
    stressing that the lack of such systems proved problematic during
    the August 2008 Russia-Georgia war.

    Israel plays an important role in Azerbaijani security arrangements.

    The electronic fence around Baku's international airport was built by
    Israeli companies. Reportedly, Israeli firms are supplying equipment
    to ensure the safety of Azerbaijan's energy infrastructure, and there
    were also rumors that Israelis provide security for Azerbaijan's
    president on his foreign visits.

    Last but not least, Azerbaijan is the home of an ancient Jewish
    community, which remains an important aspect in mutual contacts.

    "We estimate that there are approximately 25,000 Jews living
    in Azerbaijan," Mark Levin, the executive director of National
    Conference of the Soviet Jewry says. "Azeri Jews have lived side
    by side with their non-Jewish neighbors for centuries, and they are
    treated very well."

    Anna Zamejc is a correspondent for RFE/RL's Azerbaijani Service. The
    views expressed in this commentary are the author's own and do not
    necessarily reflect those of RFE/RL
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