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  • End of the Armenian debate?

    End of the Armenian debate?
    By Gwynne Dyer

    Trinidad Express
    Saturday, October 17th 2009

    The first great massacre of the 20th century happened in eastern Anatolia 94
    years ago. Armenians all over the world insist that their ancestors who died
    in those events were the victims of a deliberate genocide, and that there
    can be no reconciliation with the Turks until they admit their guilt. But
    now the Armenians back home have made a deal.

    On October 10, the Turkish and Armenian foreign ministers signed an accord
    in Zurich that reopens the border between the two countries, closed since
    1993, and creates a joint historical commission to determine what actually
    happened in 1915. It is a triumph for reason and moderation, so the
    nationalists in both countries attacked it at once.

    The most anguished protests came from the Armenian diaspora: eight million
    people living mainly in the United States, France, Russia, Iran and Lebanon.
    There are only three million people living in Armenia itself, and
    remittances from the diaspora are twice as large as the country's entire
    budget, so the views of overseas Armenians matter.

    Unfortunately, their views are quite different from those of the people who
    actually live in Armenia. For Armenians abroad, making the Turks admit that
    they planned and carried out a genocide is supremely important. Indeed, it
    has become a core part of their identity.

    For most of those who are still in Armenia, getting the Turkish border
    re-opened is a higher priority. Their poverty and isolation are so great
    that a quarter of the population has emigrated since the border was closed
    16 years ago, and trade with their relatively rich neighbour to the west
    would help to staunch the flow.

    Moreover, the agreement does not require Armenia to give back the
    Armenian-populated parts of Azerbaijan, its neighbour to the east. Armenia's
    conquest of those lands in 1992-94 was why Turkey closed the border in the
    first place (many Turks see the Turkic-speaking Azeris as their "little
    brothers"), so in practical terms Armenian president Serge Sarkisian has got
    a very good deal.

    But can any practical consideration justify abandoning the traditional
    Armenian demand that Turkey admit to a policy of genocide? Yes it can,
    because it is probably the wrong demand to be making.

    Long ago, when I was a budding historian, I got sidetracked for a while by
    the controversy over the massacres of 1915. I read the archival reports on
    British and Russian negotiations with Armenian revolutionaries after the
    Ottoman empire entered the First World War on the other side in early 1915.
    I even read the documents in the Turkish General Staff archives ordering the
    deportation of the Armenian population from eastern Anatolia later that
    year. What happened is quite clear.

    The British and the Russians planned to knock the Ottoman empire out of the
    war quickly by simultaneous invasions of eastern Anatolia, Russia from the
    north and Britain by landings on Turkey's south coast. So they welcomed the
    approaches of Armenian nationalist groups and asked them to launch uprisings
    behind the Turkish lines to synchronise with the invasions. The usual
    half-promises about independence were made, and the Armenian groups fell for
    it.

    The British later switched their attack to the Dardanelles in an attempt to
    grab Istanbul, but they never warned their Armenian allies that the
    south-coast invasion was off. The Russians did invade, but the Turks managed
    to stop them. The Armenian revolutionaries launched their uprisings as
    promised, and the Turks took a terrible vengeance on the whole community.

    Istanbul ordered the Armenian minority to be removed from eastern Anatolia
    on the grounds that their presence behind the lines posed a danger to
    Turkish defences. Wealthy Armenians were allowed to travel south to Syria by
    train or ship, but for the impoverished masses it was columns marching over
    the mountains in the dead of winter. They faced rape and murder at the hands
    of their guards, there was little or no food, and many hundreds of thousands
    died.

    If genocide just means killing a lot of people, then this certainly was one.
    If genocide means a policy that aims to exterminate a particular ethnic or
    religious group, then it wasn't. Armenians who made it alive to Syria, then
    also part of the Ottoman empire, were not sent to death camps. Indeed, they
    became the ancestors of today's huge Armenian diaspora. Armenians living
    elsewhere in the empire, notably in Istanbul, faced abuse but no mass
    killings.

    It was a dreadful crime, and only recently has the debate in Turkeybegun to
    acknowledge it. It was not a genocide if your standard of comparison is what
    happened to the European Jews, but diaspora Armenians will find it very hard
    to give up their claim that it was. Nevertheless, the grown-ups are now in
    charge both in Armenia and in Turkey, and amazing progress is being made.

    - Gwynne Dyer is a London-based independent journalist
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