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BAKU: Why Does Armenia Rush With The Protocols By Tripping Up Future

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  • BAKU: Why Does Armenia Rush With The Protocols By Tripping Up Future

    WHY DOES ARMENIA RUSHES WITH THE PROTOCOLS BY TRIPPING UP FUTURE FRIENDS?

    Trend
    Feb 25 2010
    Azerbaijan

    Trend News European Desk Commentator Elmira Tariverdiyeva

    Last weeks and next ones will be crucial for Armenian-Turkish
    relations. The protocols on the normalization of relations signed in
    Zurich were submitted to the National Assembly of Armenia.

    The Armenian government took this step despite assurances that the
    Armenian Parliament will consider the protocols only after passing
    the ratification procedure to the Turkish Majlis.

    Moreover, the President of Armenia in the nearest future can take a
    risk and go further - to submit protocols on the immediate unilateral
    ratification.

    According to Samvel Nikoyan, National Assembly deputy speaker,
    Armenia can take the initiative and approve the documents without
    waiting for Turkey, EurasiaNet.org reported.

    "I think it would be much better if Armenia continues the initiative,"
    Parliamentary member led by President Sargsyan's Republican Party of
    Armenia, Nikoyan, said at a press conference on Feb. 16.

    Despite the indignation of Armenia's internal forces concerning
    the Armenian President's actions, Sargsyan must take the risk for
    several reasons. Of course, if the Majlis does not get the protocols
    in the nearest future, Armenia will immediately leave the process I
    should say that risk is fully justified given the reaction of foreign
    observers at a "friendly gesture" of Armenia.

    The fact is that Armenians must maintain the image of a
    "long-suffering, deprived and betrayed" nation. By presenting itself
    before the international community as an initiator, Armenia gains
    points.

    More than one year it will talk about the unfairness of the world in
    which the agreements are not followed, even at the level of the signed
    documents. Unfortunately, even now, many Western observers lose sight
    of important moment of the Armenians' behavior towards the documents.

    On Jan.12, Armenia's Constitutional Court confirmed that the protocols
    complied with the country's Constitution. It stressed that there is no
    need for a joint commission that will investigate the 1915events that
    occurred during the rule of the Ottoman Empire, and that Armenia will
    never retract the requirement of recognizing the so-called "genocide."

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan warned that if the
    Armenian Constitutional Court does not reconsider its decision on
    the protocols between the two countries, relations between Ankara
    and Yerevan can worsen.

    Now, Turkey simply refuses to ratify the protocols. The most important
    point of the protocols was deliberately refuted by Armenia's principal
    judicial organ. At the same time, the U.S. Congress has just in time
    raised the genocide issue. However, it is unlikely to affect Ankara's
    position, which has ambitions not only in the South Caucasus but also
    in the Middle East.

    Turkey is developing a unified strategy with Syria, Lebanon and Iraq.

    It is not profitable for it to remain in positions of ever standing
    in line at the EU countries and absolute ally of the United States.

    Ankara needs independence now more than ever. It is moving towards
    it steadily.

    Considering that any vote of the U.S. Congress, which will try to
    reflect the historical facts of the 1915 events in a distorted manner,
    will be a severe blow to Turkish-American relations, Armenians
    are openly demonstrating good will, without worrying about the
    consequences.

    A bold decision not to wait for Turkey and first ratify the protocols
    must have a positive impact on Armenia's international image. The
    expected unilateral ratification in the Armenian Parliament will
    portray Turkey as an unreliable partner.

    There is also another important point in the protocols. The Armenian
    president and his government have the lowest legitimacy in the
    country's modern history. Therefore, many of President Sargsyan's
    foreign policy actions are desperate and try to deflect attention from
    internal problems and shortcomings that have resulted from unresolved
    political crisis in the country.

    Enhancing dramatic statements and decisive actions of the Armenian
    government has recently called upon to deflect attention from the
    near anniversary on March 2. That day nine protesters were killed
    and about 300 injured during protests against the present government
    after the presidential elections in 2008.

    In short, with the late ratification of the Armenian-Turkish protocols,
    Yerevan is pursueing its own interests, caring little about a real
    warming of relations with Ankara and tripping up future "friends."
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