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Tackling Azerbaijan's IDP Burden

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  • Tackling Azerbaijan's IDP Burden

    TACKLING AZERBAIJAN'S IDP BURDEN

    International Crisis Group
    http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/europe/caucasus/azerbaijan/B067-tackling-azerbaijans-idp-burden.aspx
    Feb 27 2012

    Azerbaijan has made significant progress in recent years in caring
    for roughly 600,000 internally displaced persons (IDPs) who were
    forcibly evicted from Nagorno-Karabakh and seven surrounding districts
    by ethnic Armenian forces nearly two decades ago. Though many still
    face precarious existences, the state has been investing heavily in
    new housing and increasing benefits. But while some IDPs have fully
    integrated, many more are still in limbo. The government and most
    of the displaced favour return to their original homes. That the
    stalled peace process with Armenia means this is not an immediate
    prospect should not preclude IDPs from being full participants in
    Azerbaijan's political and economic life. Yet, their unresolved
    fate is one of the main reminders of the conflict - and, without a
    peaceful settlement, puts pressure on the Azerbaijan leadership to
    prepare for the possibility of a new war.

    2011 was a lost year for the peace process, as seven years of talks
    on a Basic Principles agreement meant to lay the foundation for an
    eventual comprehensive peace deadlocked. Baku and Yerevan are in the
    midst of a major arms race and exchange increasingly militaristic
    statements, while sporadic clashes along the front lines kill about 30
    persons annually. Beyond some possible confidence-building measures
    (CBMs), there is little likelihood of progress for the coming year,
    with Armenia, Azerbaijan and the OSCE Minsk Group co-chair countries
    (France, Russia, U.S.) all entering electoral cycles. Earlier
    Crisis Group reports have explored the threat of resumed fighting
    and suggested ways to move toward resolution of the conflict. A
    forthcoming report will again analyse the diplomatic and security
    situation. This briefing, however, concentrates on a too often ignored
    human consequence of the crisis.

    The Azerbaijan government has begun to expend significantly more
    resources to improve the lot of the displaced, who are 7 per
    cent of the total population - one of the highest rates in the
    world. 108,000 were moved into new housing over the past two years,
    with space for 115,000 more slated to be constructed by 2015. Some
    complain, however, of poor construction and infrastructure, lack of
    community participation in planning and limited access to land or job
    opportunities in the new communities, all areas that need additional
    attention and improvement.

    Azerbaijan's IDPs benefit from free or low-cost education, health care
    and energy and have some special employment opportunities, though
    their ability to express their interests is limited by inability to
    elect municipal representatives. The some 40,000 from Nagorno-Karabakh
    are in principle represented as a group by the Azerbaijani Community
    of Nagorno-Karabakh Social Union, but its leadership is not fully
    popularly elected, and the 560,000 displaced from the occupied
    districts around Nagorno-Karabakh are not well represented. The
    political voice of IDPs thus remains weak. They should be more
    effectively integrated into decision-making about housing, services,
    and other community needs, as well as contingency planning for
    emergencies and confidence-building measures (CBMs).

    This briefing includes a section on conditions for those approximately
    128,000 IDPs and permanent residents living in close proximity to
    the 180km-long line of contact (LoC) that marks the 1994 ceasefire
    between the opposing forces. It does not address the plight of the
    Armenian refugees from Azerbaijan and vice versa who fled the initial
    violence in the late 1980s, as the overwhelming majority of them have
    been largely integrated into their respective new countries. Regular
    exchange of fire between trenches, snipers, mines and a lingering
    threat of renewed full-scale hostilities make living conditions near
    the LoC particularly precarious. A small (six-person) monitoring team
    from the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE)
    has virtually no resources, meaning it provides inadequate oversight
    and inspires little confidence among the contending sides or civilians.

    To facilitate greater IDP engagement in policies relevant to their
    lives, the Azerbaijan government should:

    Uincrease transparency; involve IDPs as much as possible in housing
    decisions; and streamline processes for reporting incidents of
    corruption or violations of state law regarding IDP issues; and
    Uallow IDPs, while their villages and towns remain occupied, to vote
    for municipal councils in their places of temporary residence.

    To protect IDPs and other civilians along the LoC, the Azerbaijan
    authorities should:

    Uagree with the Armenian government and the de facto authorities
    in Nagorno-Karabakh to an expanded interim OSCE monitoring role,
    to an OSCE proposal to remove snipers from the LoC and to set up an
    incident investigation mechanism, as well as to immediately cease
    military exercises near the LoC and advancing trench positions; and
    Ucreate an inter-ministerial task force, including the National Agency
    for Mine Action (ANAMA), to design a strategy to increase the safety
    of communities near the LoC, including more civil defence training,
    while refraining from resettling additional IDPs there.

    The international community, in particular the co-chairs of the
    Minsk Group (France, Russia, U.S.) facilitating efforts to reach a
    comprehensive peace, should:

    Ufacilitate the creation of an incident investigation mechanism,
    including the operation of a hotline between the sides to discuss
    ceasefire breaches, and otherwise protect the civilian population
    living near the LoC; and ~Udevelop more on-the-ground CBMs to create an
    atmosphere of trust, including promoting civil society meetings between
    the ethnic Armenian population of Nagorno-Karabakh and the ethnic Azeri
    population expelled from Nagorno-Karabakh and the occupied territories.

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