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Azerbaijan On Iran: Straight Talk Or Doubletalk?

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  • Azerbaijan On Iran: Straight Talk Or Doubletalk?

    AZERBAIJAN ON IRAN: STRAIGHT TALK OR DOUBLETALK?

    Giorgi Lomsadze

    EurasiaNet.org
    March 13 2012
    NY

    Fed up with all the media's alleged tension-mongering, Iranian
    Ambassador to Azerbaijan Mahammadbagir Bahrami instructed journalists
    the other day to report only the good news about Iranian-Azerbaijani
    ties, strained though they may be. "[C]over the news conducive to
    the improvement of bilateral relations only," he said at a March 9
    Azerbaijan-Iran-Turkey meeting.

    Granted, the get-together in the Azerbaijani exclave of
    Nakhchivan, precariously wedged between the three neighbors and the
    Azerbaijani-Turkish bete noire, Armenia, indeed marked a change of
    tone between Baku and Tehran.

    Coming after a story about Israeli intelligence allegedly using
    Azerbaijan like one big pair of binoculars on Iran, and reports of
    alleged Iranian terror plots against Israeli targets in Azerbaijan,
    this sudden change of tone is prompting South Caucasus watchers to
    try and peek through the closed doors of the Nakhchivan meeting.

    Repeating an earlier line, Azerbaijan said that its territory can
    never be used as a launch pad for a strike against Iran. "Our brothers
    live there," explained senior Azerbaijani presidential administration
    official Ali Hasanov, referring to the millions of ethnic Azeris in
    Iran. Post-meeting, Baku also made clear that if someone needs to
    worry about Azerbaijan's new Israeli guns - a purchase that enraged
    Tehran - that should be Armenia (more details at The Bug Pit).

    But, while a change of tone, the routine, in many ways, is old hat
    for this neck of the woods. Like other small countries, countries
    in the South Caucasus have long ago learned to try and pursue their
    own interests (with varying degrees of success) while telling larger
    foreign powers what they want to hear.

    Azerbaijan may have spoken out in the past against supposed Iranian
    dirty tricks on its territory, but the Israeli story, the most
    sensational of its charges, was characterized more by a lack of
    official commentary from Baku than by tell-all interviews with CNN
    or the BBC. Quite plainly, Azerbaijan, which shares deep historical
    and cultural ties with Iran, its southern neighbor, knows with whom
    it has to deal, and behaves accordingly.

    And, more than anything, Azerbaijani officials, politicians and
    analysts alike say they know that an Israeli or other strike against
    Iran could cause big trouble for Azerbaijan -- be it an influx of
    ethnic Azeri refugees, concerns about the security of Caspian Sea
    energy installations or what have you.

    Sardar Jalaloglu, the chairman of one tiny Azerbaijani opposition
    party, the Democratic Party of Azerbaijan, sees another concern. "If
    Azerbaijan gets dragged into military action (in any form) , it may
    become the nearest target for Iran, and that will cause domestic
    dissatisfaction with the Azerbaijani government," Jalaloglu claimed,
    in comments quoted by Russia's Iran.ru, a news site run by a former
    chairman of the Russian Federation Chamber of Commerce and Industry's
    Iranian Business Council.

    Goodness knows, Baku wouldn't want to see that.

    And so Hasanov alleged that no tensions whatsoever exist between
    the two countries -- last month's Azerbaijani charges of lies,
    "fabrication and libel" notwithstanding. And that any earlier angry
    messages from Tehran were just an attempt to make sure that if the
    big fight happens, Iran's neighbors will stay out of it.

    If so, at least where Azerbaijan is concerned, looks like mission
    accomplished.

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