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Iran Not An Immediate Nuclear Threat, Intel Shows

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  • Iran Not An Immediate Nuclear Threat, Intel Shows

    IRAN NOT AN IMMEDIATE NUCLEAR THREAT, INTEL SHOWS

    ARMENPRESS
    MARCH 23, 2012
    YEREVAN

    YEREVAN, MARCH 23, ARMENPRESS: The United States, European allies
    and even Israel generally agree on three things about Iran"s nuclear
    program: Tehran does not have a bomb, has not decided to build one,
    and is probably years away from having a deliverable nuclear warhead.

    Those conclusions, drawn from extensive interviews with current and
    former U.S. and European officials with access to intelligence on
    Iran, contrast starkly with the heated debate surrounding a possible
    Israeli strike on Tehran"s nuclear facilities, Armenpress reports
    citing Reuters.

    "They"re keeping the soup warm but they are not cooking it," a U.S.
    administration official said.

    Reuters has learned that in late 2006 or early 2007, U.S. intelligence
    intercepted telephone and email communications in which Mohsen
    Fakhrizadeh, a leading figure in Iran"s nuclear program, and other
    scientists complained that the weaponization program had been stopped.

    That led to a bombshell conclusion in a controversial 2007 National
    Intelligence Estimate: American spy agencies had "high confidence"
    that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in the fall of 2003.

    Current and former U.S. officials say they are confident that Iran has
    no secret uranium-enrichment site outside the purview of U.N. nuclear
    inspections.

    They also have confidence that any Iranian move toward building
    a functional nuclear weapon would be detected long before a bomb
    was made.

    These intelligence findings are what underpin President Barack Obama"s
    argument that there is still time to see whether economic sanctions
    will compel Iran"s leaders to halt any program.

    The Obama administration, relying on a top-priority intelligence
    collection program and after countless hours of debate, has concluded
    that Iranian leaders have not decided whether to actively construct
    a nuclear weapon, current and former officials said.

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