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  • Foreign Policy Journal: Risk Of Erupting Into Conflict Increasing No

    FOREIGN POLICY JOURNAL: RISK OF ERUPTING INTO CONFLICT INCREASING NOW

    arminfo
    Friday, May 4, 22:37

    Irish Chairmanship of the OSCE will need to address the problem of
    wrong qualification of pogroms of Armenians in Azerbaijan. Hovhannes
    Nikoghosyan, the author of the item "A War That Has Been Neglected
    Since 1994" in Foreign Policy Journal, have arrived at such
    conclusion.

    Recounting the conflicts in the South Caucasus and Transdniestria the
    author writes: "A smoldering conflict is often not about absence of
    any peace initiatives. It is substantially about an unwillingness of
    either of the parties to commit to negotiated agreements once out of
    the meeting room. This is especially true about the peace talks on
    Nagorno Karabakh, where the geography of negotiations since the
    ceasefire was established in 1994 (and even between the war of
    1992-94) covers the most beautiful cities on the planet-Rome,
    Helsinki, Prague, Lisbon, Moscow, Paris, Key West, Madrid, etc.-while
    any progress is hardly visible. A "no war, no peace" situation has
    been the only and appreciated result of peace talks, which is now
    under increasing risk to erupt into conflict as both sides are engaged
    in a Cold war-style "deterrence" with extensive military buildup."

    "When foreign diplomats or my fellow colleagues from political science
    disciplines elaborate on commonalities between the conflict in Ulster
    and others in, for example, the former Soviet Union areas, including
    Nagorno Karabakh, Abkhazia and South Ossetia (both now partially
    recognized by few states), and Transdniestria, I always pinpoint on
    two key differences: a) decisive international involvement; and b)
    maturity of political and community leaderships," Nikoghosyan writes.

    The author draws parallels between the Karabakh conflict and the
    conflict in Northern Ireland. "One of the most tragic events in the
    Troubles, "Bloody Sunday" of January 1972, may serve as an example to
    show one difference between Great Britain and Azerbaijan-two
    metropolises that had been trying to keep their conflict regions
    inside the common area. While after "Bloody Sunday" the Westminster
    immediately rushed into whitewashing the tragedy and justifying the
    killings of mostly unarmed civilian protesters in the streets of
    Derry, the Tony Blair Cabinet established the so-called Saville
    Inquiry in 1998, which came out with a final report in 2010 and
    contained rightful and lawful elaborations on the "usual suspects".

    This bloody event might be much similar to what happened in Sumgayit,
    a town in still Soviet Azerbaijan in February 1988, where Armenians
    were being executed for the sake of their ethnic origins, just because
    few days before, on February 20, the legislature in the
    Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Oblast (NKAO) capital Stepanakert applied
    with a petition to the Kremlin to re-join Soviet Armenia. The same
    policy of pogroms against Armenians later unfolded in Baku, Kirovabad,
    and other cities and villages of Azerbaijan in the late years of the
    Soviet Union's existence. Though the Soviets staged some prosecutions
    to punish anti- Armenian pogroms in Sumgayit (and not anywhere else),
    only few suspects got prison terms for "hooliganism and mass riots".

    Instead of blaming and shaming for the ethnic cleansings, which might
    have put the follow-up events into another channel, most suspects were
    freed in the courtrooms or sentenced to conditional terms. Absence of
    any "Saville Inquiry", and moreover a policy of whitewashing the
    history and blaming Armenians themselves "for provocations that led to
    pogroms", is what qualitatively distinguishes the Karabakh case from
    the success story in Northern Ireland. This is what I think the next
    similar conference, hosted by Irish Chairmanship of the OSCE, will
    need to address," Nikoghosyan wrties.



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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