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War Of Pipes And Karabakh Issue: What Will Morningstar Bring Into En

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  • War Of Pipes And Karabakh Issue: What Will Morningstar Bring Into En

    WAR OF PIPES AND KARABAKH ISSUE: WHAT WILL MORNINGSTAR BRING INTO ENERGY AND GEO POLITICS OF THE REGION
    By Naira Hayrumyan

    ArmeniaNow
    04.05.12 | 11:27

    United States President Barack Obama last week named the secretary
    of state's special envoy for Eurasian energy Richard Morningstar as
    ambassador to Azerbaijan to succeed Matthew Bryza, whose short lived
    tour of duty in Baku ended late last year amid opposition from the
    Armenian lobby at the Congress. Morningstar's nomination also has to
    clear the Congress before he can get the post.

    Azerbaijan has already expressed its approval of Morningstar's
    nomination, but the Armenian lobby is apparently still looking into
    the situation and trying to understand why Obama has nominated such
    an influential person to serve as envoy in a small, but oil-rich
    South Caucasus country.

    Morningstar has had contacts with Azerbaijan before as he visited
    Baku on various occasions. Apparently, the United States is intent on
    "convincing" Azerbaijan to be friends with the West energy-wise at the
    expense of such friendship with Russia or the possible Russo-Iranian
    alliance.

    Now the Caspian region is seeing a so-called "war of pipes" in which
    Russia is trying in every way to prevent the construction of the
    Trans-Caspian gas pipeline supposed to join the Nabucco project to
    deliver natural gas from Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan to Europe via
    Turkey, bypassing Russia. Moscow is trying to persuade Azerbaijan
    to sell its natural gas to the South Stream, an alternative pipeline
    that is under construction now to maintain Russia's dominant position
    on Europe's natural gas market.

    In the West, there is already talk that the Nabucco project is likely
    to fail, and the United States, apparently, seeks to revive this and
    other projects by appointing an experienced negotiator as ambassador
    to Azerbaijan.

    So far, Azerbaijan has made no secret of its linking its energy
    preferences with the Karabakh issue and that it will enter into
    an alliance with those forces that will undertake to put pressure
    on Armenia.

    In a recent interview with Mediaforum the head of the department on
    socio-political issues of the presidential administration of Azerbaijan
    Ali Hasanov described Morningstar as an experienced diplomat familiar
    with the region, at the same time he noted that Baku expected first
    of all "objectivity" from ambassadors of other countries.

    "Some of the recent actions by the diplomatic missions of a number
    of countries in Azerbaijan have been regrettable. Sometimes diplomats
    come under the influence of subjective judgments and present to their
    country biased and incomplete information about the host country,"
    Hasanov said.

    The Azeri official apparently referred to some unflattering opinions
    of foreign diplomats about the level of democracy in Azerbaijan and
    the unwillingness of the international community to have a solution
    to the Karabakh issue that would favor Baku.

    Head of the Department of External Relations of the Azerbaijani
    presidential administration Novruz Mammadov this week said that
    Azerbaijan may reconsider its pro-Western stance and form a "new bloc",
    if it gets no broader support from Europe and the U.S., especially
    in the issue of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Bloomberg Businessweek
    quoted Mammadov as saying that Azerbaijan wants the U.S.

    and Europe to put pressure on Armenia "in the issue of the
    withdrawal of occupying forces from Azerbaijani districts surrounding
    Nagorno-Karabakh."

    Former U.S. Ambassador to Azerbaijan Bryza, apparently, was supposed
    to solve this problem for Azerbaijan, but the Armenian lobby in the
    United States managed to get his nomination blocked in the Congress.

    He worked in Baku for a year by Obama's appointment bypassing the
    Senate's disapproval, but appears to have failed the U.S. energy
    problems as he concentrated on the Karabakh problem and
    Armenian-Turkish relations.

    At the beginning of this year, Bryza gave an interesting interview
    to the Turkish Hurriyet newspaper, in which he warned the current U.S.
    administration that the "artificial" assertion that there is no
    link between the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and
    Turkish-Armenian normalization dooms the prospects for resolving
    the Karabakh conflict, as, according to the former OSCE Minsk Group
    cochairman, it makes reaching a compromise on the Armenian side
    impossible. "They [Armenia] are given a huge benefit [opening the
    border with Turkey] without making any compromise. So we need to
    manage the two processes together at the same time," said Bryza.

    Such frankness of the American diplomat may be evidence that, as an
    ambassador who served in Azerbaijan for a year, he was doing everything
    for the Karabakh problem to stand in the way of Turkish-Armenian
    relations. And he did so in defiance of his administration, which has
    repeatedly stated that these two issues should not be linked together.

    Morningstar, meanwhile, is likely to try to separate from the Karabakh
    conflict not only the Turkish-Armenian relations, but also the energy
    projects. Azerbaijan remains a key U.S. ally in terms of regional
    energy policy, said Morningstar still prior to his nomination.

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