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WILL ARMENIA INVADE GEORGIA AND IRAN?
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics27201.html
Published: 12:49:12 - 28/08/2012
Mikhail Alexandrov, expert at Institute of CIS States made a
sensational statement in an interview with the Regnum saying what
will exactly be tested during the CSTO exercises in Armenia in early
September.
According to him, the first aspect of these exercises is the working
out of actions in case of necessity to defend the northern borders
of Iran. In addition, as the expert says, Russian and Iran have
an agreement signed back in 1921, "according to which, in case of
internal aggression, Russia may intervene".
Actually, exercises, testing Russia's intervention in Iran in case of
internal aggression will be held in Armenia. Will only the Russian
troops or will the whole CSTO intervene? Is Armenia going to invade
Iran with Russia? Serzh Sargsyan will certainly be asked this question
during the ongoing summit of Non-Aligned Movement in Tehran.
According to Alexandrov, within the exercises of the CSTO Collective
Rapid Reaction Force may be tested also the actions relating to the
parliamentary elections in Georgia. "It is not ruled out that during
elections in Georgia the authorities may resort to mass falsification.
It is not exclude that this will lead to protest waves and disorders
inside the country and pressure of national discontent. Russia may
intervene to protect the Georgian people from violence, like the West
helped the democratic forces in Lebanon", recalled the expert.
And again, the question occurs: what Armenia and the CSTO have to
do with all this? Will the Armenian troops decide "to protect the
Georgian people"? Armenia will have to answer Georgia's questions on
this matter too.
The third component of the exercises, according to Alexandrov, is
the elaboration of actions in case of possible escalation of the
Nagorno Karabakh conflict. "It is obvious that if Azerbaijan starts
a war for Nagorno Karabakh, the military actions can't be localized
exceptionally in the territory of Nagorno Karabakh. Armenia will have
to hit Azerbaijan's territory and they will answer, which will launch
the CSTO mechanism", he said.
Here you have the scenario proposed by Russia: provoke Azerbaijan
to aggression, promote a responsive strike by Armenia and wait
for Azerbaijan's invasion in Armenia and deploy the CSTO forces in
the region.
Will Armenia be satisfied with such a scenario? Do we want someone's
forces rule the events in our region?
The Armenian authorities need to confirm their participation in
all these catastrophic for us scenarios, or officially reject the
provocative words of Alexandrov. Otherwise, it will come out that
Russia not only decided what we shall do in case "elections in Georgia
are rigged", but issues statements on our behalf.
This is becoming a tradition: representatives of the Russian
authorities have already stated that the Armenian power is discussing
accession to the Eurasian Union, though Armenia has ever said no word
in this relation. Now, Russia is driving Armenia into a trap forcing
it to ruin relations with not only the West, but also neighboring
Iran and Georgia. True, Russia does not realize that Armenia may
calculate everything and prefer ruin relations with Moscow.
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics27201.html
Published: 12:49:12 - 28/08/2012
Mikhail Alexandrov, expert at Institute of CIS States made a
sensational statement in an interview with the Regnum saying what
will exactly be tested during the CSTO exercises in Armenia in early
September.
According to him, the first aspect of these exercises is the working
out of actions in case of necessity to defend the northern borders
of Iran. In addition, as the expert says, Russian and Iran have
an agreement signed back in 1921, "according to which, in case of
internal aggression, Russia may intervene".
Actually, exercises, testing Russia's intervention in Iran in case of
internal aggression will be held in Armenia. Will only the Russian
troops or will the whole CSTO intervene? Is Armenia going to invade
Iran with Russia? Serzh Sargsyan will certainly be asked this question
during the ongoing summit of Non-Aligned Movement in Tehran.
According to Alexandrov, within the exercises of the CSTO Collective
Rapid Reaction Force may be tested also the actions relating to the
parliamentary elections in Georgia. "It is not ruled out that during
elections in Georgia the authorities may resort to mass falsification.
It is not exclude that this will lead to protest waves and disorders
inside the country and pressure of national discontent. Russia may
intervene to protect the Georgian people from violence, like the West
helped the democratic forces in Lebanon", recalled the expert.
And again, the question occurs: what Armenia and the CSTO have to
do with all this? Will the Armenian troops decide "to protect the
Georgian people"? Armenia will have to answer Georgia's questions on
this matter too.
The third component of the exercises, according to Alexandrov, is
the elaboration of actions in case of possible escalation of the
Nagorno Karabakh conflict. "It is obvious that if Azerbaijan starts
a war for Nagorno Karabakh, the military actions can't be localized
exceptionally in the territory of Nagorno Karabakh. Armenia will have
to hit Azerbaijan's territory and they will answer, which will launch
the CSTO mechanism", he said.
Here you have the scenario proposed by Russia: provoke Azerbaijan
to aggression, promote a responsive strike by Armenia and wait
for Azerbaijan's invasion in Armenia and deploy the CSTO forces in
the region.
Will Armenia be satisfied with such a scenario? Do we want someone's
forces rule the events in our region?
The Armenian authorities need to confirm their participation in
all these catastrophic for us scenarios, or officially reject the
provocative words of Alexandrov. Otherwise, it will come out that
Russia not only decided what we shall do in case "elections in Georgia
are rigged", but issues statements on our behalf.
This is becoming a tradition: representatives of the Russian
authorities have already stated that the Armenian power is discussing
accession to the Eurasian Union, though Armenia has ever said no word
in this relation. Now, Russia is driving Armenia into a trap forcing
it to ruin relations with not only the West, but also neighboring
Iran and Georgia. True, Russia does not realize that Armenia may
calculate everything and prefer ruin relations with Moscow.