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No Country Can Afford to Be Totally Dependent on One Partner

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  • No Country Can Afford to Be Totally Dependent on One Partner

    No Country Can Afford to Be Totally Dependent on One Partner

    Naira Hayrumyan

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/interview27225.html

    Published: 10:18:32 - 30/08/2012


    Exclusive interview of Lragir.am with the U.S. Ambassador John Heffern

    I have chosen the economic topic on purpose because I believe that
    economic issues are very important in terms of politics and regional
    development. My first question is the following: what are the main
    directions of your work, your primary objectives on the economic side.

    Let me broaden the question. Our economic elements are three. So I am
    going to answer your economic questions in a little bit broader
    context. The clear instruction I got from Washington before I came to
    Yerevan last October was to do what we can, what the United States can
    to help Armenia succeed as a prosperous, secure, democratic country.
    And you can There is regional piece of that, there is a political
    piece and there is an economic piece, and we are focusing on the
    economic piece.

    The second is to help Armenia create options for itself, every country
    needs options, so we're going to help Armenia create options. No
    country can afford to be totally dependent on one partner, on one
    border, or one sector of the economy, or one separated economy. And
    that goal also I see a strong economic component.

    And the third is to keep Armenia looking frankly to the West as a
    partner. We're not competing with anybody, we're not trying to replace
    anybody but we think Armenia can benefit from Western values, Western
    trade and investment and Western partnership. So here are our three
    economic objectives to help Armenia succeed as a prosperous country,
    help create economic options and work to increase trade investment
    with the West, the United States as well.

    Have you any success stories since your arrival in Armenia last October?

    Well, I wouldn't say they're all necessarily in the last ten months.
    Yeah, we have some success stories, especially in two sectors I'll
    talk about. And what excites me about these successes is that it's not
    the U.S. government's successes. The U.S. government has played a
    part, the U.S. private sector has played a part but especially strong
    Armenian partners have played a major part. And those two sectors are
    information technology and food processing.

    Are there specific examples?

    Sure. No, I've got specific examples. I'll start with IT. As you know
    very well, the IT sector is probably the fastest growing sector of
    Armenia's economy: 20 percent of annual revenue growth, 13 percent
    annual job creation, job growth, and because it develops on Armenia's
    strengths. But the United States has played a part there, and I'll
    tell you a couple of examples.

    First, the U.S. private sector. A number of major U.S. companies have
    offices here and projects here - Synopsys, National Instruments,
    Oracle, Sun, there's about half a dozen major U.S. IT companies,
    telecommunications companies, who are working here very successfully
    with local partners. And what we've tried to do at the U.S. embassy is
    to build on that private sector's success. For example, last year we
    sent, actually earlier this year, we sent ten IT businessmen and
    businesswomen to the U.S. to build on their partnerships with U.S.
    companies. So we sent them to the United States to build partnerships
    with other IT companies, U.S. IT companies. And

    USAID has launched a program last year on entrepreneur development, IT
    is one of the key sectors as part of that program. It's a sizeable
    program, it's 17 million dollars over the next 5 years. So there's
    something concrete in the IT area, you know about food processing and
    other issues so I'll stop there.

    Just to follow up your answer, I know about a program the Embassy was
    doing to develop entrepreneurship and competition. What's your
    assessment of the competitive environment?

    There're obviously challenges here, as well as opportunities. I've
    tried to focus on the opportunities since I've been here but let me
    talk a bit about challenges. Considering the close people-to-people
    ties between the two countries, Diaspora and other people-to-people
    ties, we should be doing a lot better than we've been doing in the
    economic sphere. Our trade is about, I think, last year it was about
    250 million dollars, I think it's really very small for bilateral
    trade. We're not satisfied with that. We're going to do better than
    that. The U.S. investment last was about 40 million dollars, it's not
    bad, and it's the third among investors but again we think we can do a
    lot better than that.

    When I talk to U.S. companies and potential investors, they ask me
    three questions. First, will any contracts that they sign be honored
    by independent courts here? Second question is I need to know what my
    costs are going to be, cost of business. Will the tax and customs
    payments be predictable to me? And the third question is how
    competitive is the market. If I come in, will I be able to compete
    fairly and equally with other companies in the market.

    And well there has been progress, and there continues to be reform and
    we commend the government and people of Armenia for these reforms. I
    frankly cannot be totally reassuring to the U.S. investor on those
    three points. So there needs to be more work in the area of
    independent judiciary, predictable taxes and customs, and economic and
    also political competition, competition in the economic sphere.

    Still one of the scenarios that was discussed is that this situation
    can be addressed by means of huge amounts of foreign investment.

    I do think if and when big western companies come to Armenia and
    invest in Armenia, that will have a positive impact on the reform
    effort and the business climate. So, partly yes to that question. So
    that's one of the things I try to do every day, it's to find that
    company to make that big investment that will drive, change and
    transform, help transform Armenia's economy. So yes, partly yes.

    But, frankly, the main thing that's needed to drive the reform program
    is political will and not resources. So when all the policy makers
    that I talk to and all the business people I talk to and NGO, civil
    society leaders and the media people I talk to, I and my other
    partners stress the need for more political will, bolder political
    will to make the changes necessary.

    My next question is on another issue. You mentioned in an interview,
    at least I read it, that Kars-Gyumri railroad could be operated even
    without opening the border.

    We remain committed to the protocols, the Turkey-Armenia protocols,
    that's the first priority. Opening those borders will help with all
    the three goals I mentioned in the beginning. And will also help
    Turkey by the way, the purpose of the protocols is not just to help
    Armenia, the purpose of the protocols is to help both countries and
    both people. So that every opportunity we push, and frankly the
    problem is on Turkey's side, and at every opportunity we push Turkish
    policy makers to ratify, implement the protocols as signed in 2009.
    And by that I mean ratifying, implementing protocols without
    preconditions. Turkey so far is not doing that. So does that mean we
    don't do everything, do we just sit and wait for Turkey to do the
    right thing? I don't think so. We're going to continue with the
    embassy, with the United States, to push progress in the
    reconciliation process wherever we can find an opportunity to do so.

    And there are a number of economic areas where there could be progress
    and that could be accomplished without a total agreement on diplomatic
    relations and opening borders.

    And one of those options that would be a huge economic boost not only
    for Armenia but also Eastern Turkey the opening of Gyumri-Kars would
    be a huge economic boost for both countries. There is a fiber optic
    that could be completed and help both countries, and in the energy
    field there are all sorts of electricity swaps, again to help both
    countries, even if the protocols, even if Turkey is not ready to do
    the right thing on the protocols.

    Do you know anything about the reaction of the Turkish side to these
    kinds of projects?

    I think they are most open to the fiber optic project. So, as I
    understand it, I don't have first-hand knowledge of this but as I
    understand it, Turkish and Armenian companies are discussing the fiber
    optic thing. The railroad is tougher. Not as much progress on the
    railroad project, not yet.

    Millennium Challenge Corporation is no longer working in Armenia. Also
    the EU has postponed the donor conference. These resulted in thoughts
    that this is pressure on the authorities or these organizations do not
    want to help Armenia.

    Well, I can't speak about the EU but I can speak about the MCC part of
    it. But absolutely, aid and assistance is conditional, no question
    about that, no apology for that. Economic development here, prosperity
    and success in the economic field will not be possible without
    political will to make the necessary changes. And so we are not
    interested in spending our taxpayers' money here unless there is some
    prospect for success. So if didn't believe there was a prospect of
    success we would not be here at all. We have a sizable assistance
    program and will continue to have a sizeable assistance program and we
    are trying to focus that cooperation, assistance on transformation, on
    building capacity, on training, building up Armenia's knowledge base,
    so that it can take the advantage of the resource it has, its people.
    So that's the goal of our cooperation. We're not building
    infrastructure projects here anymore. Our goal is to help Armenia
    transform itself into a knowledge-based society so that it can compete
    in the 21st century.

    Back to MCC. MCC is explicitly conditional. There are 13 very explicit
    categories, indicators that countries are judged upon, are assessed
    on, and the decision about whether the country is eligible for MCC is
    based on its performance in those 13 areas. And the key indicator is
    anti-corruption and good governance. And for the three reasons, the
    three challenges that I mentioned earlier, Armenia does not meet the
    requirements for the new MCC compact.

    In August you mentioned about development of the Armenian civil
    society. Do you think changes in civil society will help improve
    economic competition as well?

    Absolutely, I mean not by itself, it will not succeed by itself, but
    it is a key component in Armenia's transformation and reforms. So one
    of our goals every day is to identify partners in Armenia's civil
    society, political and economic sectors, the media. A key part of what
    we do every day is exactly this.

    My last question is on the Civilitas Foundation. Do you follow the
    developments? What are your thoughts on its case?

    Sure, we follow those developments carefully. Civilnet and the
    Civilitas are really very important for Armenia. We worked with them
    closely and we will continue to work with them. And the whole question
    with Mr. Oskanian is complicated, I don't know all the financial
    details, I don't have specific information of the substance of the
    specific case. But I have to say that the timing of the investigation
    and the charges and the information that has come out was very
    suspicious in terms of the political agenda. I hope the authorities
    will treat it appropriately but I will have to say the timing is
    suspicious.

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