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Don't Hold Your Breath For Turkey To Enter The European Union

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  • Don't Hold Your Breath For Turkey To Enter The European Union

    DON'T HOLD YOUR BREATH FOR TURKEY TO ENTER THE EUROPEAN UNION
    Stephen Schwartz, The Weekly Standard

    The Weekly Standard
    November 27, 2006 Monday

    On October 12, the Swedish Academy announced its award of the Nobel
    Prize in Literature to the Turkish writer Orhan Pamuk. He is the author
    of several books that have attained worldwide bestseller status,
    the most recent in English being last year's Istanbul: Memories and
    the City. The gifted Pamuk is read widely in the West--perhaps even
    more than in his native country.

    Indeed, inside Turkey, political issues almost immediately intruded
    into discussion of Pamuk's prize, which he will formally accept in
    Stockholm on December 10. Many in the Turkish cultural elite took a
    sour view--one symptomatic of aspects of the political culture that
    threaten to keep their country out of the European Union.

    Sophisticated observers might have seen in Pamuk's honor evidence
    that Turkey has attained a certain cultural parity with other leading
    countries--surely a favorable sign for the E.U. accession to which so
    many Turkish citizens aspire. Or they might have construed Pamuk's
    selection as a cultural gain for Muslims generally. Some in the
    West pointed out that Pamuk had differed with his country's rulers
    on several occasions, making him one more in the line of literary
    dissenters rewarded by the Swedish Academy.

    Instead, Turkish political and media circles treated Pamuk's Nobel
    prize as simply another skirmish in their endless war with the ghosts
    of Armenians killed on their soil during the First World War. Last
    year, Turkish authorities charged Pamuk with "public denigration
    of the Turkish identity"--under a law enacted after his alleged
    insult occurred. The supposed infraction came in comments made in
    an interview with the Swiss newspaper Tages Anzeiger about historic
    massacres of Armenians and Kurds by the Turkish authorities. At the
    beginning of 2006 the legal case was dropped, but only, it seems,
    as a sop to European sensitivities.

    The tragedy suffered by up to a million Armenians at the end of Ottoman
    rule is not contested by serious historians anywhere, including inside
    Turkey. Pamuk himself exaggerated when he claimed that "nobody but
    [him] dares talk about" the subject. A Turkish leftist, Taner Akcam,
    published a lengthy volume on the atrocities against Armenians,
    A Shameful Act, in Turkish in 1999 (now available in English). But
    Turkish nationalists labeled Pamuk's prize a European reward for his
    comments on the Armenian question.

    It is easy to assert that Turkey has no place in the E.U. because
    it is Muslim, and that Europe should define itself by its Christian
    heritage. But would Albania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, or an independent
    Kosovo be eternally excluded from the European Union because they have
    Muslim majority or plurality populations? Very likely not. The truth
    is that Turkey is handicapped in its approach to Europe much less by
    its majority faith than by three aspects of its political culture that
    mainly reflect the legacy of radical secularism. These are the state
    ideology of Turkishness, the systematic denial of minority ethnic and
    religious rights, and the excessive influence of the military within
    the government.

    In addition, to be sure, Turkish politics has taken an Islamist tilt
    in recent years, with the ascent of Recep Tayyip Erdogan, current
    prime minister and leader of the AK or Justice and Development party.

    Although opposed to the petrified and crumbling national-secularist
    heritage, Erdogan's orientation indicates a path of less, rather
    than more, speed toward full political reform, including individual
    and minority rights. Erdogan and his colleagues have made some
    concessions to the European Union--mainly changes in the legal system
    (they abolished the death penalty) and gestures toward conciliation
    on occupied Cyprus--but the AK party's enthusiasm for rapid progress
    soon faded. The latest assessment from the E.U., published last week,
    chastised Turkey for dragging its feet on Cyprus as well as on the
    rights of ethnic and religious minorities.

    And it's worse than foot-dragging. Turkey has lost ground. The
    Turkish Republic has adopted, in the last two years, laws regulating
    speech and written discourse based on an official definition of
    Turkishness. Turkishness is defined entirely politically, and with
    reference to historical events. It is officially "anti-Turkish" to
    engage in frank discussion of the history of the Anatolian Armenians
    or, one presumes, the standing of the Greek Orthodox Christians in
    Turkey, represented by Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomeus. The visit of
    Pope Benedict XVI to the ecumenical patriarch scheduled for the end of
    November seems bound to stir new controversy, for the simple reason
    that his church has almost no rights in Turkey: It cannot operate a
    seminary or publish religious literature. This is not the European
    model of mutual respect between faiths (much less the American model
    of free exercise of religion).

    Minority issues further dramatize the distance between the present
    Turkish style of governance and European principles. Kurds make up at
    least a fifth of Turkey's population. They are an Indo-European, not
    a Turkic, people, and their presence in the region, like that of the
    Greeks and the Armenians, predates the arrival of the Turks. In Turkey,
    they have produced a notably nasty bunch of terrorists, including the
    notorious Abdullah Ocalan of the former Kurdistan Workers party or PKK,
    an extreme Communist group once aligned with the late Romanian dictator
    Nicolae Ceausescu. But most Kurds are no more radical than their
    co-ethnics in Iraqi Kurdistan, who are exemplary in their moderation.

    But apart from token measures of amelioration adopted to please
    the Europeans, Turkey continues to deny Kurds the right to enjoy
    their historical cultural and linguistic traditions. Considering
    how far Spain has gone in recognizing Catalan, Basque, and other
    minority-language cultures, and the significant gains by the Scots and
    Welsh in securing political autonomy in the United Kingdom, Turkey
    has a long way to go before it will satisfy a European criterion on
    ethnic minorities.

    If the situation of the Ecumenical Patriarchate and the memory of
    brutalities inflicted on the Armenians are still provocative topics,
    the condition of another minority in Turkey, the Alevis, is arguably
    more dramatic in that they are Muslims. Ethnically both Turkish and
    Kurdish, the Alevis are Sufi-Shia Muslims and comprise as much as one
    quarter of the population of the republic, around 18 million people.

    The religious traditions and social attitudes of the Alevis illustrate
    the spiritual diversity of the Islamic global community.

    While reference volumes, including The CIA World Fact Book, routinely
    cite the official Turkish claim that 99 percent of Turks are Sunnis,
    Alevis do not follow the established precepts of Sunni Islam. Rather,
    they honor the 12 imams or religious guides of the main Shia sect.

    Alevi women do not cover themselves, and they participate equally
    with men in prayer. Alevis worship "truth" (hakk) rather than a
    divine creator, and they believe truth resides in the hearts of all
    humans. Their devotion represents a synthesis of Turkic pre-Islamic
    ecstatic religion, transcendental Sufi practice, and protest against
    worldly injustice. Like other Shia Muslims, they appear more influenced
    by contact with Christianity than do Sunnis.

    Cruelties inflicted on the Alevis in recent years include an incident
    of mass murder in the Turkish town of Sivas in 1993, when 37 people
    died in a hotel set on fire by Sunni extremists. The pretext for
    this lynching was that an Alevi cultural group was meeting to hear
    an author, Aziz Nesin, who had defended Salman Rushdie's freedom of
    the pen. Erdogan's AK party includes no Alevis in its leadership,
    and Alevis believe the prime minister seeks to exclude them from
    recognition as Muslims.

    Under the Erdogan administration, Alevis fear the rise of a new
    government-backed, Sunni fundamentalism with strong similarities to
    the official Wahhabi cult in Saudi Arabia--a shocking possibility
    in Turkey, where Wahhabis were always despised as enemies of the
    Ottomans. How could a Wahhabization of Turkish Sunnism take place?

    With frightening ease: If Erdogan empowers a new state Sunnism, it will
    expose the inadequacy of religious education and the degraded state of
    theology in Turkey, a result of the nation's secularist heritage--and
    a gap in religious culture the Wahhabis will handily fill.

    That is the typical Wahhabi response to the revival of Islamic feeling
    under or after secular rule; the pattern has been seen in Algeria,
    the Balkans, Central Asia, Nigeria, Malaysia, the Caucasus, and
    Iraq. In most cases the effort at Wahhabization has failed, but only
    after serious bloodshed. Turkey would be a most tempting prize for
    the fundamentalists. In any case, the Alevis seem destined to endure
    second-class citizenship, if not direct oppression, although they
    are immensely influential in Turkish cultural (especially musical)
    life. Turkey is bad, and probably getting worse, for Muslim religious
    minorities like the Alevis, as well as for the much smaller non-Muslim
    communities. And as we see in Iraq, fighting among Muslims can be
    bloodier than combat between Muslims and non-Muslims.

    As if all these barriers to Turkish-European harmonization were not
    enough, there remains the enormous problem of the Turkish army.

    Turkey's armed forces are the sole survivor from an earlier era: They
    still act as guardian of the official national ideology, rooted in the
    militant secularism of Kemal Ataturk. Like the People's Liberation
    Army created by Mao Zedong, which attempted to gain power in the
    Cultural Revolution of the 1960s and '70s, and the former Yugoslav
    army, for which military professionalism was no bar to involvement
    in genocidal adventures, the Turkish army has repeatedly asserted
    the right to intervene in politics and to dismiss Turkey's elected
    leaders by coup. But while the Chinese army would not attempt such a
    thing today, and the Serbian remnant of the Yugoslav army no longer
    has the power to do so, the Turkish army still believes it can flex
    its muscles when it wishes.

    The last ideological military establishment in Western Europe, that
    of ex-Francoist Spain, was definitively removed from any influence
    over political life a quarter century ago. But the Turkish army
    erupted into the civil realm as recently as 1997, when it forced
    the resignation of Prime Minister Necmettin Erbakan. Erbakan was an
    Islamist precursor of Erdogan; but military pressure to remove him
    did not match the European pattern of democratic accountability.

    Unless Turkey follows Spain's example and completely separates its
    army from any direct use of political power, it cannot be considered
    for E.U. accession. In today's Turkey, separation of the army from the
    state is even more urgent than maintaining the wall between religion
    and the state. But how can this be accomplished peacefully?

    There is little indication the Turkish army will not lash back,
    once again, to keep its privileges.

    Americans may have other objections to Turkish policies today,
    especially in the aftermath of Ankara's refusal to assist in the
    liberation of Iraq, and the subsequent explosion of anti-American
    propaganda in the country. But by contemporary European standards,
    neither the state Ataturk created, with its militaristic secularism,
    nor the state that threatens to succeed it, with narrow, militant
    Sunnism as its foundation, would be welcome. Turkey has profound
    choices to make, and soon--for the good of its citizens no less than
    for the satisfaction of Brussels bureaucrats, European politicians,
    and even its past, present, and future American friends.

    Stephen Schwartz is a frequent contributor to THE WEEKLY STANDARD.
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