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Armenia Ba2 rating balances low debt burden with modest development

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  • Armenia Ba2 rating balances low debt burden with modest development

    Thomson Financial News Super Focus
    November 30, 2007 Friday 6:19 AM GMT


    Armenia 'Ba2' rating balances low debt burden with modest development
    - Moody's



    Moody's Investors Service said its stable outlook and 'Ba2' local and
    foreign currency debt rating on Armenia balances the low debt burden
    of the government and economy against the country's weak
    institutional capacity and modest level of economic development.

    The ratings agency said Armenia's 'Baa3' foreign currency country
    ceiling rating for bonds are based on Moody's assessment of a low
    risk of payments moratorium in the event of a government bond
    default.

    While Armenia's debt burden compares well with similarly rated
    countries, as a relatively poor nation in the process of
    transitioning to a market-based economy, its institutions are still
    relatively undeveloped, Moody's said.

    Armenia's general government debt burden -- at about 17 pct of GDP
    and falling -- compares favourably with other 'Ba2'-rated countries.
    The terms of its debt are also very comfortable relative to its
    peers, Moody's said.

    The country's double-digit growth continues, at one of the fastest
    rates registered in the world, reflecting the economy's small size,
    and the government's fiscal and monetary policies are prudent,
    Moody's said.

    However, links between Armenia's political class and the business
    elite foster entrenched vested interests, while the level of
    financial intermediation remains low. There are also geopolitical
    uncertainties linked to the conflict in the Nagorno-Karabach region,
    Moody's said.
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