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WILL WEST PAY TO "DERUSIFY" ARMENIA?
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics26812.html
Published: 12:03:33 - 11/07/2012
Armavia Air Company during the Farnborough salon decided to purchase
one Airbus and one Boeing, Interfax reports. Earlier, we learnt that
the Armenian carrier decided not to buy the second Sukhoi Superjet 100
(SSJ-100).
This information came right after the Russian press had reported
Mikhail Baghdasarov is going to sell Armavia Company to Russian
companies through Harutiun Pambukyan.
Which of these is the result of the other information? It is not
ruled out that Baghdasarov refused buying the Superjet, after which
the Russian party launched an information war against him spreading
rumors that his company is for sale.
Now, they say, that Armenia, allegedly, is ready to give 10% of its
assets to the HayRusGazArd to make sure Russia won't announce gas
price increase by the presidential elections. The gas, as they say,
has already increased in price by USD 60, but it is kept secret.
Perhaps, the assets already belong to Russia.
If Russia manages to lay hands on all the assets of HayRusGazArd
and Armavia, we can say that the Western raid to remove Armenia from
under the Russian influence failed.
The West also understands that everything has its price and it won't
be enough just to support minimal reforms. Either it will have to
cover the inevitable "damage" to Armenia or to lose it forever.
There are two versions - the West keeps the acting power in Armenia
and propose money which it uses for the compensation of the gas
price increase, preservation of Armavia and allows Armenia not to
take a loan from Russia; or the West contributes to the arrival to
power in Armenia of those who will take the risk to go for a direct
confrontation with Russia, but in this case it will have to cover
major damage. Russia has very powerful levers of economic power in
Armenia, and now it is increasing.
Apparently, conceptual talks are underway between Russia and Armenia.
Press secretary of the ministry of energy and natural resources of
Armenia Lusine Harutiunyan told Arminfo that they are negotiating in
relation to whole complex of energy cooperation including issues on
tariffs on natural gas.
This means that Armenia is trying to weaken the economic influence of
Russia which not only resists in all possible ways but also creates
new levers.
How this fight will end is hard to guess, but it is absolute that
the leading role belongs to two factors: readiness of the West to
help Armenia and capacity of the Armenian authorities to insist on
their own, even if they will have to lose power for it.
Only in case these two factors are present, Armenia may restore full
sovereignty: if the West is ready to confront with Russia for Armenia
and if the authorities intend to sell themselves to anyone who will
guarantee reproduction.
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics26812.html
Published: 12:03:33 - 11/07/2012
Armavia Air Company during the Farnborough salon decided to purchase
one Airbus and one Boeing, Interfax reports. Earlier, we learnt that
the Armenian carrier decided not to buy the second Sukhoi Superjet 100
(SSJ-100).
This information came right after the Russian press had reported
Mikhail Baghdasarov is going to sell Armavia Company to Russian
companies through Harutiun Pambukyan.
Which of these is the result of the other information? It is not
ruled out that Baghdasarov refused buying the Superjet, after which
the Russian party launched an information war against him spreading
rumors that his company is for sale.
Now, they say, that Armenia, allegedly, is ready to give 10% of its
assets to the HayRusGazArd to make sure Russia won't announce gas
price increase by the presidential elections. The gas, as they say,
has already increased in price by USD 60, but it is kept secret.
Perhaps, the assets already belong to Russia.
If Russia manages to lay hands on all the assets of HayRusGazArd
and Armavia, we can say that the Western raid to remove Armenia from
under the Russian influence failed.
The West also understands that everything has its price and it won't
be enough just to support minimal reforms. Either it will have to
cover the inevitable "damage" to Armenia or to lose it forever.
There are two versions - the West keeps the acting power in Armenia
and propose money which it uses for the compensation of the gas
price increase, preservation of Armavia and allows Armenia not to
take a loan from Russia; or the West contributes to the arrival to
power in Armenia of those who will take the risk to go for a direct
confrontation with Russia, but in this case it will have to cover
major damage. Russia has very powerful levers of economic power in
Armenia, and now it is increasing.
Apparently, conceptual talks are underway between Russia and Armenia.
Press secretary of the ministry of energy and natural resources of
Armenia Lusine Harutiunyan told Arminfo that they are negotiating in
relation to whole complex of energy cooperation including issues on
tariffs on natural gas.
This means that Armenia is trying to weaken the economic influence of
Russia which not only resists in all possible ways but also creates
new levers.
How this fight will end is hard to guess, but it is absolute that
the leading role belongs to two factors: readiness of the West to
help Armenia and capacity of the Armenian authorities to insist on
their own, even if they will have to lose power for it.
Only in case these two factors are present, Armenia may restore full
sovereignty: if the West is ready to confront with Russia for Armenia
and if the authorities intend to sell themselves to anyone who will
guarantee reproduction.