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There Can Be Revolution Even Tomorrow

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  • There Can Be Revolution Even Tomorrow

    There Can Be Revolution Even Tomorrow

    Siranuysh Papyan
    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/interview27548.html

    Published: 14:44:57 - 29/09/2012

    Interview with Saro Saroyan, ACNIS expert, historian

    Saro, following the prosecutor's motion to strip Vartan Oskanian of
    immunity and bring accusations against him Republican Vazgen Khachikyan was
    arrested. What is happening, what is the scenario?

    First of all, let's keep in mind that we are entering into the pre-election
    stage which has a logic stemming from the Armenian political process. The
    head of the village improves roads a month before elections, the
    administration headed by the president is laying out its path. Following
    the tradition, several months before the elections there is an illusion is
    that there is political will to end impunity and unlawfulness. However,
    since there is a lack of confidence, words and preachers are not enough.
    Steps aimed at redirection of finance should be interpreted by the media as
    struggle against corruption, Khachikyan should be arrested, other similar
    actions should be carried out.

    As to Oskanian, there seems to be an intention to use him as a Trojan horse
    in the upcoming election. This is not a matter of political persecution,
    but a fresh political balloon is being blown. Perhaps it will blast after
    the elections when it will become known that the RPA-PAP scramble was
    intended to distract the public, and Oskanian was just another persecuted
    embodiment of the oppositional idol who has to accept Serzh Sargsyan's
    victory to end his persecution.

    What developments should be expected?

    Everything is moving along the path drawn by the regime. It is facilitated
    by the meaningless existence of the opposition, its flawed and toothless
    behavior. There is not a common idea, the parties seem to have run out of
    human resources, the famous opposition figures seem to have lost their face
    and enjoy miserable confidence, they are unable to put forth new mechanisms
    for struggle. The civic
    initiatives seem to
    be stagnant recently. The last significant step was the
    march to the house of Ruben Hairapetyan, which allowed destroying Nemets
    Rubo's charisma and finally ruining him.

    However, the thesis that involvement of party
    membersin
    independent civic initiatives would give them an impetus and lead to
    essential changes did not come true because the party members lack the will
    to give up their previous useless style of action. For them, the
    culmination of any action is a march or a rally with minimum risk to their
    own personality, they think so.

    In this context, the regime's reproduction helps forecast developments. If
    Serzh Sargsyan keeps moving at this rate, his election will be triumphant,
    and there is no hope that the opposition will achieve a run-off election.

    So what should be done? The answer to the question is the civic
    initiatives. They
    are able to turn the situation and topple the criminal and oligarchic
    pyramid if new and topical ideas are put forth and mechanisms presupposing
    self-denial are used.

    Saro, what alternatives can the civil society propose?

    It is impossible to unite the oppositional electorate to say no to the
    regime or to achieve the victory of their own candidate when the entire
    electoral process is organized and controlled by the ruling regime which
    has no intention give up power and will hold on to it through force,
    criminal ways. The elections turn the civil society into a stage of
    struggle where the issue of
    removalof the
    regime is solved, not the victory of the opposition candidate. It
    depends who the participants are, what goals they follow, what ideas they
    put forth, what mechanisms they use, their will, determination,
    self-denial, other characteristics. Today only the civic initiatives have
    such experience who can be united by the idea not by a personality.

    Does it mean to wait for another 4-5 years?

    You apparently mean the parliamentary or presidential elections. The change
    of government is usually linked to elections. However, I believe that the
    only way of establishment of Constitutional order is the revolution which
    is not time bound. I even believe that the society can write an obituary
    for the criminal and oligarchic pyramid as soon as several dozens of
    ideological young people with strong will are found who will use the
    experience of toppling regimes through civil disobedience.

    Then the next elections will legally ratify the revolutionary political
    process. We will manage even by tomorrow if we find some thirty figures who
    will act skillfully. Running ahead of your next question, I will say that
    that most oppositionist figures almost do not differ from sleek and cynical
    peddlers.

    The real actors are the young people who were arrested in Mashtots Park
    thanks to whom a lot of children can continue to play in this park. I tend
    to think that those ANC youths whom the regime is trying to silence are
    also actors. They will take the test of time. The change of government -
    the political pensioners soaked in the soviet political culture - depends
    on these young people.

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