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How Hollande could help Turkey's EU bid

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  • How Hollande could help Turkey's EU bid

    EurActiv.com
    June 19, 2012 Tuesday 9:38 AM GMT


    How Hollande could help Turkey's EU bid

    by Can Selçuki and Eldar Mamedov

    François Hollande's choice of Laurent Fabius as foreign minister and
    Bernard Cazeneuve as European affairs minister suggests that he has
    little appetite for further enlargement of the EU, argue Can Selçuki
    and Eldar Mamedov.


    http://eamobi.com/medias/websites/12/articles/513357

    Can Selçuki is a researcher at the Centre for European Policy Studies
    in Brussels and Eldar Mamedov is a political advisor to the Socialists
    and Democrats Group in the European Parliament. This opinion was first
    published by Hurriyet Daily News.

    "If there is a foreign country with a good reason to celebrate
    François Hollande's election as French president, it is Turkey. Former
    President Nicolas Sarkozy did not believe that Turkey belonged to
    Europe culturally and geographically.

    That led France to block five chapters in the EU accession
    negotiations, which are relevant to Turkey's EU membership. Would
    Hollande bring change in his country's relations with Turkey, both
    bilaterally and in the context of the EU enlargement?

    At first sight, such a question might seem awkward in light of the
    challenges that Hollande already faces with the severe economic
    downturn in the eurozone. Hollande's choice of Laurent Fabius as the
    minister of foreign affairs and Bernard Cazeneuve as the minister for
    European affairs suggests little appetite for further enlargement of
    the EU.

    It would also be foolish to expect France (and other EU member states)
    to drop the condition that Turkey recognise the Republic of Cyprus.
    There are also traditional irritants in bilateral relations, such as
    the Armenian issue.

    There is one area, however, where Hollande can make a crucial
    difference. By eschewing the acrimonious debate on religious and
    cultural compatibility of Turkey with the EU and focusing instead on
    reforms that Turkey needs to join the EU, he can help to restore the
    credibility of the EU accession process. And with credibility comes
    the leverage: if Turkey perceives that it is treated fairly and has a
    realistic chance of joining the EU, it would be easier for the EU to
    push for the agenda needed to that end.

    Concerns are growing in Turkey and among its European friends about
    the lack of progress on reforms and even backslide in some areas, such
    as free speech, rule of law and women's rights. The ruling
    conservative Justice and Development Party, or AKP, unrestrained by
    internal checks and balances, feels increasingly tempted to
    consolidate its grip on the institutions at the expense of deepening
    democracy.

    The revitalisation of the EU negotiations could provide a much needed
    external anchor for reform and check what many see as the AKP's
    creeping authoritarianism.

    This offers a historic opportunity for Turkey's main opposition
    People's Republican Party, or CHP, to reposition itself as Turkey's
    main pro-European party. Indeed, Kemal Kiliçdaroglu has tried this by
    improving CHP's relations with its political family, European social
    democracy, which were seriously impaired due to his predecessor's
    often nationalistic politics.

    The CHP has shown new interest in engaging in debate on the issues of
    common interest for European progressive forces, from economic and
    social crisis to the future of the Arab Spring.

    But more can and needs to be done. By reclaiming the European project,
    the CHP would increase the pressure to reform on the incumbent AKP and
    give more ammunition to the supporters of Turkey's EU bid in European
    capitals. It would enable the CHP to capitalise on its links with the
    European social democracy and put it in a better position to convince
    the French Socialists to unblock the five chapters in the accession
    process vetoed by Sarkozy.

    By approaching the EU issue strategically, the CHP should not get
    bogged down by disagreements over issues like Cyprus or Armenia, or
    occasional praise that the EU officials heap on the ruling AKP. The
    election of Hollande as the president of France will not lead to a
    fast-track towards the EU membership, but it expands the "breathing
    space" for Turkey's pro-European forces.

    As the AKP loses interest in further reform, the CHP is well advised
    to claim the role of the most pro-European party in Turkey. This will
    be right for the CHP and for Turkey's future as a democratic, secular
    and modern Republic."

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